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France all services expected activity trend excl. transport

France all services expected activity trend excl. transport stood at 1.4 Balance of opinion (%) in Sep 2026, according to INSEE – Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques (BDM). It is one of the indicators in the INSEE business surveys table (Value · Monthly), with a complete series running from Jan 1988 to Sep 2026. The complete series with an interactive chart, free to download.

Source: INSEE – Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques (BDM)Last updated: Curated by Bui Thanh Phuc
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This indicator in the INSEE business surveys table

Indicator09-202608-202607-202606-202605-202604-202603-202602-202601-202612-2025
Services
Monthly economic survey in services - Expected trend of activity - All services excluding transport1.43.43.90.4-0.122.43.21.5-0.7
Monthly economic survey in services - Past trend of employment - Interim services1.1-4.8-31.9-12.517.1-11.6-0.5-17-36-0.6

Understanding france all services expected activity trend excl. transport

Corporate service providers operating outside the transport industry project the trajectory of their future business volumes, capturing forward-looking sentiment across professional, administrative, and support branches. By omitting transport operations from this specific expectation gauge, the metric concentrates strictly on non-logistics tertiary activities, shielding the forward-looking outlook from the volatility specific to freight and passenger transit markets. The resulting balance of opinion aggregates individual corporate forecasts regarding upcoming turnover and demand conditions.

Interpreting these forward-looking figures requires recognizing that survey-based expectations can occasionally diverge from realized economic outcomes due to unforeseen market disruptions. Analysts should examine consecutive observations to verify whether shifts in sentiment represent persistent turning points rather than temporary noise. Comparing this filtered expectation series against its transport-inclusive counterpart clarifies whether logistics trends are driving overall tertiary optimism or pessimism.

Frequently asked questions

Does this expected trend indicator incorporate logistics and transit providers?
No, all transport activities are intentionally excluded to focus on other corporate and consumer services.
What primary economic signal does a net balance above zero convey?
It indicates that more survey respondents expect their activity to increase than expect it to decrease.
Why might survey expectations differ from subsequent hard output statistics?
Expectations reflect subjective business confidence and sentiment, which can shift faster than actual production or invoicing.

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