Germany 5-year Bund yield, month-end estimate
Germany 5-year Bund yield, month-end estimate stood at 3.36% in Sep 2026, according to Deutsche Bundesbank. It is one of the indicators in the Interest rates (monthly) table (Value · Monthly), with a complete series running from Sep 1972 to Sep 2026. The complete series with an interactive chart, free to download.
This indicator in the Interest rates (monthly) table
| Indicator | 09-2026 | 08-2026 | 07-2026 | 06-2026 | 05-2026 | 04-2026 | 03-2026 | 02-2026 | 01-2026 | 12-2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government yield curve: month-end estimates | |||||||||||
| Residual maturity of 5.0 years, monthly data | 3.36 | 3.01 | 2.86 | 2.56 | 2.64 | 2.8 | 2.71 | 2.25 | 2.37 | 2.43 | |
| Residual maturity of 6.0 years, monthly data | 3.4 | 3.07 | 2.92 | 2.62 | 2.71 | 2.87 | 2.78 | 2.34 | 2.48 | 2.53 |
Understanding germany 5-year Bund yield, month-end estimate
Marking the central anchor of the medium-term sovereign debt spectrum, this parameter quantifies the modeled yield for federal obligations carrying exactly 5.0 years of remaining life. The metric is mathematically distilled from the universe of active government securities to compute a standardized yield, completely neutralizing the impact of varying coupon sizes found in physical bonds. Positioned halfway to the primary global benchmark, this indicator balances anticipated monetary policy trajectories with longer-term growth expectations. It distinguishes itself from adjacent interpolated points by aligning closely with massive volumes of structurally issued five-year state debt, though it remains a model-derived rate rather than a single traded price.
When tracking medium-term borrowing costs, period-on-period differences in the absolute rate offer the most mathematically sound comparison, rendering year-on-year proportional growth calculations meaningless for fixed-income analysis. The data reflects strict market pricing at the close of the final business day, independent of seasonal patterns. Methodological consistency is strictly maintained across the time series, meaning structural breaks are virtually nonexistent unless fundamental changes occur in the underlying curve-fitting framework. Analysts frequently err by treating this estimate as perfectly interchangeable with the monthly moving average for the same maturity, failing to account for the heightened volatility present in a single end-of-month trading session.
Frequently asked questions
- How does the model account for extreme market volatility occurring on the last trading day of the month?
- The estimate strictly captures the closing prices of that specific day regardless of volatility, offering a pure snapshot rather than smoothing the disruptions over a longer timeframe.
- Is this 5.0 years parameter adjusted for expected inflation?
- This represents the nominal yield, while anticipated inflation effects are only stripped out in the parallel series measuring expected real yields.
- Does the presence of heavily traded five-year bonds make this estimate more accurate than other maturities?
- High liquidity in this segment provides the underlying mathematical model with more robust pricing data, anchoring this specific point on the curve more firmly than less frequently traded durations.