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European Union 10-Year minus 2-Year Yield Spread

European Union 10-Year minus 2-Year Yield Spread stood at 0.48% on Sep 2, 2026, according to European Central Bank (ECB Data Portal). It is one of the indicators in the Yields on government bonds table (Value · Daily), with a complete series running from Sep 6, 2004 to Sep 2, 2026. The complete series with an interactive chart, free to download.

Source: European Central Bank (ECB Data Portal)Last updated: Curated by Bui Thanh Phuc
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This indicator in the Yields on government bonds table

Indicator02-09-202601-09-202631-08-202628-08-202627-08-202626-08-202625-08-202624-08-202621-08-202620-08-2026
10-year – 2-year spread0.480.480.480.470.490.490.490.480.510.49
1-year spot maturity3.032.982.962.92.872.832.832.892.842.89
2-year spot maturity3.073.043.012.932.912.872.862.922.892.92

Understanding european Union 10-Year minus 2-Year Yield Spread

The European Union 10Y-2Y yield spread calculates the differential between the yield of ten-year long-term bonds and two-year short-term bonds, directly reflecting the term structure state of the debt market. Unlike extreme indicators that only show single interest rates, this metric is specifically used to diagnose the health of the economic cycle by measuring the slope of the yield curve. The scope of the indicator draws data from the two highest liquidity benchmarks of the bloc, completely excluding non-standard debt structures or mixed-maturity debt.

Frequently asked questions

What is the significance of an inversion between long and short maturities?
This phenomenon typically warns that the economy faces a risk of recession ahead.
When is this spread data calculated and published?
The index is updated every trading day based on component yield data.
Why are these two specific maturities chosen to calculate the spread?
Because they are universally recognized international benchmarks representing the short-term and long-term sectors.