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Japan Firms' Output Price Outlook, 5 Years

Tankan survey of enterprises' inflation expectations — outlook for output prices, 5 years ahead — average expected rate of change by enterprise size and industry. 164 series.

Source: Bank of Japan – Time-Series Data SearchLast updated: Sep 22, 2026, 13:52Curated by Bui Thanh PhucAbout this data ↓

IndicatorQ2-2026Q1-2026Q4-2025Q3-2025Q2-2025Q1-2025Q4-2024Q3-2024Q2-2024Q1-2024Q4-2023Q3-2023Q2-2023
Outlook for Output Prices (5 years ahead)(The Average of Enterprises' Inflation Outlook)4
All Enterprises41
All industries6.15.65.25.25.15.254.94.84.74.44.44.4
Manufacturing6.45.85.35.25.25.3554.94.94.34.44.3
Textiles6.85.45.55.65.566.45.75.85.66.15.76
Lumber & Wood products7.66.55.55.25.34.74.53.83.94.73.53.33.3
Pulp & Paper7.76.86.35.45.24.7665.64.34.24.45
Chemicals4.84.53.53.83.83.73.23.13.13.22.92.52.4
Petroleum & Coal products6.44.76.15.95.54.83.93.85.33.94.65.14.6
Ceramics, Stone & Clay8.586.96.86.67.36.86.676.35.15.85.6
Iron & Steel6.45.75.14.75.25.45.55.55.86.14.94.84.1
Nonferrous metals5.65.65.14.84.64.44.844.43.63.83.13.3
Food & Beverages7.56.46.66.76.26.85.75.75.465.55.45.7
Processed metals7.66.45.35.15.75.45.55.65.15.34.44.74.9
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery6.76.35.45.75.66.15.75.85.65.64.54.94.9
General-purpose machinery7.26.866.56.46.96.36.56.76.35.65.85.2
Production machinery76.45.45.25.35.75.55.55.45.44.24.95
Business oriented machinery5.95.74.85.65.35.95.65.5554.24.44.4
Electrical machinery5.24.74.24.14.34.24.34.13.73.73.33.63.5
Transportation machinery5.65.24.84.64.34.63.84.13.93.73.53.43.3
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery7.576.26.25.86.25.76.15.25.35.34.84.6
Motor vehicles4.23.83.83.43.23.32.52.62.82.62.42.52.6
Other manufacturing6.45.75.15.35.25.75.15.45.25.24.75.45.3
Basic materials6.55.75.25.15.1554.754.74.34.14.1
Processing6.55.85.35.35.25.55.15.14.954.24.54.5
Nonmanufacturing5.95.55.25.255.14.94.84.84.64.44.54.4
Construction6.665.65.75.85.95.55.45.45.24.84.94.9
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing4.84.23.83.83.53.83.63.63.53.2333.2
Real estate4.53.83.33.22.93.132.72.82.62.52.42.8
Goods rental & Leasing5.454.64.84.65.14.854.64.243.93.9
Wholesaling & Retailing6.565.65.75.65.75.45.25.35.15.155.1
Wholesaling6.65.95.55.75.55.65.45.25.14.95.155
Retailing6.56.15.85.75.85.85.45.35.65.55.15.35.1
Transport & Postal activities665.15.455.35.15.15.354.64.74.4
Information communication54.64.44.14.243.83.83.63.73.43.53.2
Communications5.75.45.955.34.54.74.43.24.53.24.13.8
Information services5.14.84.24.14.34443.73.93.43.63
Other information communication4.74.14.33.73.63.83.23.33.53.23.43.13.3
Electric & Gas utilities4.43.94.24.54.14.53.43.13.432.73.22.8
Services for businesses5.55.75.55.24.9554.74.94.344.23.9
Services for individuals4.84.43.73.83.73.93.943.43.43.83.93.3
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services7.47.37.177.17.36.86.86.86.76.46.96.8
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel7.875.455.84.54.44.35.544.14.54.2
Large Enterprises41
All industries4.74.33.943.83.53.53.43.33.13.13.23.1
Manufacturing54.33.93.93.83.73.43.43.33.133.13
Textiles7.26.15.85.83.6555.454.153.34.7
Lumber & Wood products7.26.456.15.75.75.65.756.73.13.85
Pulp & Paper7.57.56.35.76.36.188.36.85.5455
Chemicals32.21.31.71.11-0.2-0.6-0.10.4-0.1-0.4-0.5
Petroleum & Coal products53.32.52.51.32.5-5-5-3.8-5-3.81.3-1.3
Ceramics, Stone & Clay7.26.25.75.85.45.95.63.95.64.42.83.64.6
Iron & Steel6.26.16.76.58.69.376.57.87.854.13.8
Nonferrous metals5.85566.64.554.552.52.73.22.3
Food & Beverages5.24.54.64.54.44.34.14.93.744.33.84.6
Processed metals6.675.355.64.755.354.64.44.15.3
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery5.75.34.44.64.64.654.64.64.64.54.93.7
General-purpose machinery5.45.75.25.65.75.26665.45.86.75.7
Production machinery6.86.65.24.454.54.33.644.24.34.74.1
Business oriented machinery4.22.62.23.42.53.84.74.33.44.13.63.20.7
Electrical machinery3.83.52.63.23.33.22.92.72.32.32.43.23
Transportation machinery4.133.42.322.21.91.71.61.321.81.6
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery553.93.82.83.12.833.53.54.22.52.5
Motor vehicles3.82.43.221.81.91.61.31.10.61.31.61.3
Other manufacturing64.65.25.254.83.83.54.83.84.244.1
Basic materials4.84.13.643.33.32.72.72.92.52.12.12.2
Processing54.43.93.93.93.83.63.73.43.33.33.63.3
Nonmanufacturing4.54.344.13.93.53.63.53.43.23.23.43.2
Construction5.15.14.24.2544.13.83.73.23.12.72.8
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing4.73.53.23.33.53.53.63.73.23.443.24.1
Real estate53.13.13.23.33.23.432.93.54.13.24.3
Goods rental & Leasing3.94.63.53.54.14.54.15.94.23.33.53.13.6
Wholesaling & Retailing4.54.54.24.13.73.23.23.63.33.23.23.53
Wholesaling55.34.44.14.43.63.13.73.33.63.53.72.8
Retailing3.93.544.22.72.73.23.43.22.82.83.23.2
Transport & Postal activities4.34.33.94.33.94.24.93.743.63.13.43.8
Information communication4.14.44.24.64.22.82.73.42.932.62.62.2
Communications211.72.52.5-0.80000.6001.2
Information services55.45.45.55.24.444.64.14.43.84.33.2
Other information communication33.61.92.51.9112.21.81.50.900
Electric & Gas utilities2.81.81.53.13.13.422.51.92.82.52.70.8
Services for businesses44.444.64.23.44.23.43.332.83.32.6
Services for individuals44.63.63.33.52.23.13.54.13.63.13.34
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services64.65.6544.353.93.74.66.17.27.5
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel3.63.31.31.31.31.3223-3.302.5-2.5
Medium-sized Enterprises41
All industries5.65.34.94.74.74.94.54.44.44.33.943.9
Manufacturing65.44.94.74.854.74.54.44.63.943.9
Textiles6.944.43.54.54.45.55.24.14.25.45.94.3
Lumber & Wood products5.66.35.35.74.65.45.43.63.53.71.50.50
Pulp & Paper7.86.87.16.96.955.75.35.955.34.45.3
Chemicals4.55.13.14.44.643.73.93.43.23.22.42.6
Petroleum & Coal products557.18.68.37.553.66.75.74.453.1
Ceramics, Stone & Clay8.17.16.45.34.65.65.74.85.25.43.94.83.7
Iron & Steel6.34.64.53.63.93.33.33.64.75.23.63.51.5
Nonferrous metals43.82.53.12.523.22.50.90.61.91.90.5
Food & Beverages6.25.95.45.95.165.24.44.45.84.54.75.5
Processed metals6.35.65.4565.65.86.35.45.15.354.8
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery7.16.15.75.766.45.75.865.74.84.95.8
General-purpose machinery97.46.876.98.46.66.66.97.85.54.54.5
Production machinery6.85.654.655.54.65.45.85.24.95.76.6
Business oriented machinery5.85.65.55.96.45.46.55.55.44.34.24.35.8
Electrical machinery4.74.14.12.433.23.62.52.82.91.71.81.6
Transportation machinery5.55.74.64.44.44.73.24.33.84.23.83.84
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery66.14.85.85.264.56.13.7455.34.7
Motor vehicles5.25.34.53.63.93.92.33.13.94.33.23.13.6
Other manufacturing6.45.65.2555.64.85.54.84.84.74.95.1
Basic materials65.34.64.74.64.34.54.144.13.73.62.7
Processing65.55.14.84.85.34.84.84.64.844.14.4
Nonmanufacturing5.45.14.84.74.54.84.34.44.44.2444
Construction5.65.25.45.954.94.74.64.14.14.14.14.2
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing4.94.54.143.64.33.63.93.93.33.33.23.6
Real estate4.44.13.73.43.33.72.933.62.92.42.32.9
Goods rental & Leasing5.85.14.84.84.25.24.65.14.43.94.84.54.5
Wholesaling & Retailing5.85.35.2555.24.64.54.74.74.54.44.6
Wholesaling5.65.15.35.355.454.74.84.64.54.44.7
Retailing6.15.94.94.55.14.83.94.14.654.54.44.6
Transport & Postal activities5.65.54.84.74.74.94.24.64.84.53.93.83.5
Information communication4.33.63.63.23.23.22.72.92.82.92.72.42.5
Communications5.66.35.55.95.84.555.4552.82.32.7
Information services54.13.53.53.63.533.43.33.52.82.62.2
Other information communication3.22.43.22.42.32.61.81.71.81.82.62.22.7
Electric & Gas utilities5.84.744.23.94.43.43.53.83.93.33.84.1
Services for businesses5.45.85.85.14.85.454.54.943.63.83.4
Services for individuals4.554.34.34.44.74.754.84.84.84.53.7
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services7.37.46.86.677.56.96.96.36.26.16.67.2
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel55.67.25.68.16.95.56.16.78.155.95.9
Small Enterprises41
All industries6.76.15.75.75.65.85.65.55.45.34.954.9
Manufacturing7.26.55.95.95.86.15.95.85.75.64.95.15.1
Textiles6.765.86.46.36.86.95.96.66.46.76.16.9
Lumber & Wood products8.96.75.84.75.44.33.93.53.94.74.14.14.1
Pulp & Paper7.66.75.94.64.14.25.55.44.83.53.64.14.8
Chemicals6.45.85.34.95.35.45.1554.84.44.23.9
Petroleum & Coal products74.86.45.75.54.85.25.46.74.86.15.85.9
Ceramics, Stone & Clay8.88.97.67.97.88.37.68.18.27.266.86.7
Iron & Steel6.56.15.14.85.35.86.265.96.35.35.45.1
Nonferrous metals6.26.36.15.255.35.44.35.44.94.63.54.3
Food & Beverages97.28.187.68.16.66.86.66.76.46.36.1
Processed metals8.36.85.35.25.55.55.45.355.63.94.64.8
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery6.96.75.665.76.566.25.85.84.34.94.9
General-purpose machinery7.16.95.86.86.46.76.46.86.965.75.85.3
Production machinery7.16.65.75.75.56.26.26.15.75.93.84.74.8
Business oriented machinery6.46.85.46.15.76.85.45.95.25.74.34.84.9
Electrical machinery6.25.75.45.85.65.55.65.95.15.255.25.1
Transportation machinery6.565.65.85.45.655.254.64.143.9
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery8.77.97.16.86.56.96.76.86.36.15.75.25
Motor vehicles43.93.74.53.94.13.33.33.42.72.72.92.9
Other manufacturing6.66.15.15.65.465.85.95.75.94.86.15.7
Basic materials7.26.45.95.55.75.85.95.65.95.65.25.15.2
Processing7.26.55.96.15.96.35.85.95.65.74.85.15.1
Nonmanufacturing6.45.95.55.65.55.65.45.25.354.954.8
Construction76.45.85.86.16.35.95.75.85.65.25.45.4
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing4.84.23.83.93.43.63.63.43.33.12.72.82.8
Real estate4.53.73.13.12.62.72.92.42.32.32.12.22.3
Goods rental & Leasing5.34.94.75.14.8554.94.94.43.63.73.6
Wholesaling & Retailing7.16.466.26.26.36.15.85.95.65.75.75.7
Wholesaling7.26.45.86.15.965.95.75.65.25.65.55.5
Retailing76.56.46.46.66.66.366.46.266.15.8
Transport & Postal activities6.86.95.76.25.65.95.85.85.95.85.65.65.3
Information communication65.65.54.95.25.15.24.84.64.94.54.94.4
Communications6.75.88.35.46.16.96.55.83.56.54.36.85.4
Information services5.35.34.44.14.74.35.14.44.24.244.43.8
Other information communication6.765.95.55.45.5555.55.154.94.8
Electric & Gas utilities3.73.7554.64.93.82.93.32.31.92.61.8
Services for businesses5.75.85.55.45.15.15.155.24.64.44.54.3
Services for individuals54.13.33.63.43.73.63.52.42.63.53.72.9
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services7.67.67.77.67.87.777.17.77.36.67.16.5
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel10.28.55.45.85.74.14.44.15.74.74.744.7

Latest reading

All industries stood at 6.1 in Q2 2026. That is +8.9% from Q1 2026 and +19.6% from a year earlier. The series on this page is quarterly and runs from Q1 2014 to Q2 2026. Source: Bank of Japan – Time-Series Data Search.

Latest
6.1
Q2 2026
vs previous period
+8.9%
Q1 2026
vs a year earlier
+19.6%

About this data

Tankan survey of enterprises' inflation expectations — outlook for output prices, 5 years ahead — average expected rate of change by enterprise size and industry. 164 series. Source: Bank of Japan, Time-Series Data Search.

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