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Japan Firms' Output Price Outlook, 3 Years

Tankan survey of enterprises' inflation expectations — outlook for output prices, 3 years ahead — average expected rate of change by enterprise size and industry. 164 series.

Source: Bank of Japan – Time-Series Data SearchLast updated: Sep 22, 2026, 13:54Curated by Bui Thanh PhucAbout this data ↓

IndicatorQ2-2026Q1-2026Q4-2025Q3-2025Q2-2025Q1-2025Q4-2024Q3-2024Q2-2024Q1-2024Q4-2023Q3-2023Q2-2023
Outlook for Output Prices (3 years ahead)(The Average of Enterprises' Inflation Outlook)4
All Enterprises41
All industries5.14.64.34.34.34.44.24.14.143.73.83.8
Manufacturing5.54.74.44.44.44.64.34.24.24.13.83.93.9
Textiles5.44.34.74.74.74.95.34.95.24.75.24.85
Lumber & Wood products6.75.454.84.84.43.93.63.42.9333.6
Pulp & Paper76.365.84.94.95.15.25.34.53.73.74.4
Chemicals3.83.42.8333.42.92.72.82.62.62.52.3
Petroleum & Coal products65.14.84.75.254.24.654.34.654
Ceramics, Stone & Clay6.85.95.65.85.86.15.75.86.15.755.65.4
Iron & Steel5.34.6444.244.54.44.55.24.243.6
Nonferrous metals4.74.54.13.73.74.13.73.33.23.13.22.82.6
Food & Beverages6.65.55.75.95.65.85.14.84.74.84.64.75
Processed metals6.254.44.14.84.74.54.94.44.33.844.4
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery5.754.64.74.754.74.64.84.544.24.2
General-purpose machinery5.95.55.25.55.35.655.15.754.84.74.6
Production machinery5.94.94.44.44.754.74.64.74.43.94.34.3
Business oriented machinery5.24.64.24.64.24.74.44.13.94.23.53.63.7
Electrical machinery4.74.13.33.33.43.53.43.23.33.433.33
Transportation machinery4.84.44.243.94.13.83.83.83.73.33.53.3
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery6.35.55.65.65.35.55.254.74.84.44.54.3
Motor vehicles3.53.43.22.82.82.92.82.83.12.92.72.82.6
Other manufacturing5.54.44.44.54.34.64.54.64.54.44.34.74.5
Basic materials5.44.74.44.34.34.44.34.24.343.83.83.7
Processing5.64.74.44.44.44.74.44.34.34.23.844
Nonmanufacturing4.94.64.24.24.14.34.1443.83.63.73.7
Construction5.75.24.84.64.84.94.74.44.44.13.944.2
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing43.43.23.233.33.12.92.92.82.52.42.5
Real estate3.732.72.62.42.52.42.12.22.221.82.1
Goods rental & Leasing4.54.244.13.94.54.34.343.83.33.33.1
Wholesaling & Retailing5.554.74.74.64.74.64.44.64.34.34.34.4
Wholesaling5.75.24.74.84.54.74.64.54.54.34.44.34.4
Retailing5.24.74.74.74.74.64.64.44.64.34.34.34.5
Transport & Postal activities4.74.74.14.244.344.24.34.13.943.8
Information communication3.93.73.43.23.333.12.92.92.92.62.72.6
Communications54.54.94.14.64.14.44.33.73.62.63.83.4
Information services43.73.43.33.23.13.43.3332.42.72.2
Other information communication3.33.43.12.832.72.42.12.62.72.92.52.8
Electric & Gas utilities43.53.33.63.53.82.92.82.82.71.92.42
Services for businesses4.64.44.44.13.943.93.83.93.63.13.23.2
Services for individuals3.93.73.43.33.33.53.53.43.33.33.23.32.9
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services5.865.665.55.95.45.55.55.55.666
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel7.46.44.44.244.23.43.14.43.74.343.8
Large Enterprises41
All industries4.13.63.23.33.13.23.13.13.12.82.72.92.8
Manufacturing4.33.53.23.23.13.43.23.13.22.82.82.92.8
Textiles4.544.652.53.254.64.62.94.23.14
Lumber & Wood products6.553.955544.54.532.33.24.5
Pulp & Paper6.57.76.56.55.86.25.7665.42.93.84.3
Chemicals2.41.30.30.70.51.10.60.60.60.30.40.20.3
Petroleum & Coal products3.33.32.52.52.52.5-5-5-3.8-2.5-211
Ceramics, Stone & Clay7.15.35.354.75.3555.74.53.145
Iron & Steel6.55.95.96.26.476.255.46.344.74.4
Nonferrous metals5.93.954.254.73.43.142.52.82.21.9
Food & Beverages54.34.54.54.54.54.543.43.44.13.23.8
Processed metals4.84.34.33.84.54.45.254.83.53.944.6
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery4.84.33.743.83.94.33.94.24.244.33.5
General-purpose machinery4.74.74.34.84.54.34.84.75.34.74.85.44.6
Production machinery5.54.63.73.33.73.643.43.7444.34.1
Business oriented machinery3.732.94.22.9443.733.52.93.21.1
Electrical machinery3.72.82.22.12.22.62.12.32.42.11.82.42.3
Transportation machinery3.332.72.222.32.62.52.52.22.52.31.7
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery5.45.44.64.644.23.83.84.23.832.12
Motor vehicles2.62.32.21.61.51.72.32.121.72.32.31.6
Other manufacturing4.52.93.43.53.43.733.13.73.854.54.2
Basic materials4.43.433.22.83.32.72.62.92.21.92.12.5
Processing4.33.63.23.23.23.43.43.33.33.13.23.33
Nonmanufacturing3.93.73.33.43.23.13.1332.82.72.82.8
Construction4.64.53.73.53.73.53.433.432.322.3
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing3.733.33.13.13.23.53.52.83.33.22.73.1
Real estate3.32.332.82.82.63.22.82.433.22.63.1
Goods rental & Leasing4.64.64.23.84.254.35.43.83.93.233.2
Wholesaling & Retailing4.33.83.73.6332.82.72.92.62.93.33.1
Wholesaling4.74.73.93.93.63.53.133.22.73.43.83
Retailing3.72.63.53.12.42.52.52.42.72.52.52.83.3
Transport & Postal activities3.33.52.63.12.83.43.93.63.83.12.73.23.3
Information communication3.73.72.733.12.32.12.32.12.11.71.51.3
Communications211.91.92.50.70.70.600.6001.2
Information services4.84.73.73.73.33.63.43.63.23.433.32.3
Other information communication1.92.811.72.70.600.60.90.3-0.3-0.9-0.3
Electric & Gas utilities2.81.81.52.82.81.81.72.11.32.11.92.51.2
Services for businesses3.83.84.343.13.23.53.43.13.31.81.81.8
Services for individuals2.83.42.933.222.53.23.73.23.22.83.3
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services5.34.756.155.35.34.53.94.45.66.66.8
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel4.32.5-1.3-1.3-1.3-1.30-2.52-4.2-11.3-2.5
Medium-sized Enterprises41
All industries4.64.13.93.93.84.13.83.73.73.63.33.33.3
Manufacturing5.24.34.1444.243.83.83.93.43.63.4
Textiles5.53.24.13.13.44.15.34.64.14.34.64.23.2
Lumber & Wood products5.24.74.45.655.64.43.23.32.51.11.40.7
Pulp & Paper7.46.26.26.9655.34.55.954.43.95
Chemicals3.53.32.43.43.63.73.43.332.72.732.6
Petroleum & Coal products4.44.54.65.95.95.63.9353.23.93.91
Ceramics, Stone & Clay64.74.94.34.95.95.14.64.75554.3
Iron & Steel53.43.433.12.32.633.54.43.12.91.5
Nonferrous metals3.43.21.72.32.22.321.400.91.51.70.6
Food & Beverages5.34.54.35.14.75.34.73.844.73.84.14.9
Processed metals5.44.54.33.74.94.64.84.84.34.54.14.14.1
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery5.754.84.44.754.64.54.94.644.44.6
General-purpose machinery6.866.15.25.56.55.75.1664.74.53.9
Production machinery5.54.44.13.94.24.63.83.94.54.23.74.74.5
Business oriented machinery554.54.44.74.24.74.54.23.83.84.15.3
Electrical machinery4.53.93.12.42.42.62.82.22.22.922.12
Transportation machinery4.94.33.83.73.743.13.73.33.63.43.53.3
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery5.43.84.354.55.44.653.544.854.8
Motor vehicles4.54.63.62.93.132.32.93.23.32.82.82.6
Other manufacturing6.14.94.74.84.54.544.84.64.43.84.54.3
Basic materials543.8444.143.63.63.63.43.32.5
Processing5.34.54.244.14.343.93.94.13.53.73.8
Nonmanufacturing4.33.93.93.83.743.63.63.63.53.23.23.3
Construction4.64.34.54.84.24.4443.53.63.63.83.8
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing3.93.33.23.22.83.432.832.82.32.52.6
Real estate3.62.92.62.72.32.62.41.82.621.61.91.9
Goods rental & Leasing4.243.94.13.54.544.13.743.53.33.5
Wholesaling & Retailing4.64.244.144.24.244.13.83.73.63.8
Wholesaling4.84.14.24.34.24.44.44.34.23.843.53.8
Retailing4.24.23.93.83.843.93.63.83.73.33.83.6
Transport & Postal activities4.343.73.73.73.93.53.843.63.33.13.3
Information communication3.333.12.82.62.52.32.32.22.31.922.1
Communications54.755.95.44.64.254.64.52.12.32.1
Information services3.83.23.1332.82.72.92.62.71.71.91.8
Other information communication2.42.32.62.11.61.91.60.91.21.42.122.4
Electric & Gas utilities4.743.43.133.7333.331.92.42.8
Services for businesses4.14.24.63.63.84.13.73.73.63.12.62.82.7
Services for individuals3.94.13.843.843.744.24.13.73.63.1
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services66.15.35.35.26.15.25.35.35.25.25.46
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel6.36.76.456.57.35.5667.24.54.24.5
Small Enterprises41
All industries5.75.14.84.84.74.84.64.54.64.44.24.34.3
Manufacturing6.15.355.15.15.24.94.94.94.74.44.44.5
Textiles5.54.94.95.35.65.55.355.75.25.65.35.9
Lumber & Wood products7.765.54.44.63.73.73.63.333.83.54.4
Pulp & Paper6.95.95.754.14.54.75.24.73.83.73.54.1
Chemicals5.24.94.64.34.34.84.23.84.143.93.73.3
Petroleum & Coal products6.75.45.14.55.35.25.46.26.15.45.85.95.3
Ceramics, Stone & Clay7.26.86.26.96.76.46.26.86.86.35.46.36.1
Iron & Steel5.24.944.14.44.34.94.84.85.44.74.24.2
Nonferrous metals4.85.14.84.14.14.64.444.2443.43.6
Food & Beverages7.96.57.26.86.66.75.55.75.55.25.25.45.3
Processed metals6.95.54.54.44.84.84.34.94.54.63.53.94.5
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery65.24.85.25.15.54.94.94.94.6444.2
General-purpose machinery65.65.26.15.65.74.65.25.84.64.94.55
Production machinery6.25.24.85.15.25.65.35.35.14.73.94.14.3
Business oriented machinery5.754.44.74.35.34.444.14.53.63.53.7
Electrical machinery5.454.34.94.84.84.74.74.84.84.64.74.4
Transportation machinery5.555.25.1554.84.44.74.53.844.1
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery6.96.36.36.15.95.85.65.15.35.24.64.94.7
Motor vehicles3.63.43.83.73.73.93.73.343.52.93.13.4
Other manufacturing5.54.44.64.64.54.85.24.94.84.74.34.94.7
Basic materials5.95.454.84.94.94.94.854.74.64.54.6
Processing6.25.35.15.25.25.34.954.94.74.24.44.5
Nonmanufacturing5.454.64.54.54.64.54.34.44.24.14.24.1
Construction6.15.454.75.15.254.74.74.44.24.44.5
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing4.13.63.23.233.23.12.92.92.72.42.32.4
Real estate3.83.22.62.52.42.42.22.12.12.11.91.72
Goods rental & Leasing4.64.344.24.14.54.54.24.13.63.23.32.9
Wholesaling & Retailing6.15.55.25.15.15.15.14.954.84.94.85
Wholesaling6.25.85.15.14.9554.94.94.74.74.84.8
Retailing5.85.35.35.25.55.35.35.15.355.255.3
Transport & Postal activities5.35.54.84.94.64.84.44.74.64.74.74.84.4
Information communication4.54.343.64.13.94.33.9443.843.7
Communications5.75.36.53.955.46.46.154.63.76.35.4
Information services3.83.63.43.33.43.34.33.53.33.12.93.32.7
Other information communication4.84.74.13.94.64.13.83.84.44.74.744.3
Electric & Gas utilities3.73.43.74.24.24.63.22.72.72.51.92.31.3
Services for businesses4.94.54.34.34.14.24.13.94.13.93.53.63.6
Services for individuals43.63.2333.43.63.22.82.833.22.7
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services5.76.15.96.35.95.95.65.95.865.86.25.8
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel8.87.14.453.73.63.23.44.24.55.44.54.5

Latest reading

All industries stood at 5.1 in Q2 2026. That is +10.9% from Q1 2026 and +18.6% from a year earlier. The series on this page is quarterly and runs from Q1 2014 to Q2 2026. Source: Bank of Japan – Time-Series Data Search.

Latest
5.1
Q2 2026
vs previous period
+10.9%
Q1 2026
vs a year earlier
+18.6%

About this data

Tankan survey of enterprises' inflation expectations — outlook for output prices, 3 years ahead — average expected rate of change by enterprise size and industry. 164 series. Source: Bank of Japan, Time-Series Data Search.

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