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Japan Firms' Output Price Outlook, 1 Year

Tankan survey of enterprises' inflation expectations — outlook for output prices, 1 year ahead — average expected rate of change by enterprise size and industry. 164 series.

Source: Bank of Japan – Time-Series Data SearchLast updated: Sep 22, 2026, 13:51Curated by Bui Thanh PhucAbout this data ↓

IndicatorQ2-2026Q1-2026Q4-2025Q3-2025Q2-2025Q1-2025Q4-2024Q3-2024Q2-2024Q1-2024Q4-2023Q3-2023Q2-2023
Outlook for Output Prices (1 year ahead)(The Average of Enterprises' Inflation Outlook)4
All Enterprises41
All industries3.73.12.72.82.92.92.82.82.82.72.62.83
Manufacturing4.23.22.82.82.932.92.932.92.82.93.2
Textiles4.22.72.72.72.83.13.43.63.53.43.83.53.7
Lumber & Wood products4.632.93.232.92.52.13.12.71.51.51.9
Pulp & Paper5.84.84.243.33.63.23.23.12.82.52.93.7
Chemicals3.72.62.22.32.62.62.32.42.42.22.12.22.2
Petroleum & Coal products6.24.432.63.63.23.13.23.43.53.943.9
Ceramics, Stone & Clay4.63.53.63.63.74.64.24.343.93.94.45
Iron & Steel4.22.92.421.922.22.53.73.82.32.42.8
Nonferrous metals3.73.32.42.42.52.72.42.42.72.42.32.22.2
Food & Beverages4.83.83.94443.53.12.93.23.33.74.2
Processed metals4.53.22.62.42.933.13.33.23.13.13.23.5
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery43.12.92.92.93.23.133.23.233.13.3
General-purpose machinery43.33.33.53.23.43.33.33.53.33.23.33.4
Production machinery43.12.82.82.93.132.93.13.12.72.93.2
Business oriented machinery3.92.92.92.62.53.132.93.13.13.23.13.4
Electrical machinery3.22.6222.12.12.12.22.42.32.32.62.6
Transportation machinery3.42.92.72.72.82.82.62.72.72.72.62.82.8
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery4.43.53.13.23.43.43.12.93.13.12.93.13.1
Motor vehicles2.52.42.32.22.42.42.12.52.42.42.52.62.6
Other manufacturing4.73.32.82.7332.82.93.12.92.833.3
Basic materials4.43.22.82.72.832.92.93.232.72.83.1
Processing43.12.82.82.932.92.82.92.92.833.3
Nonmanufacturing3.332.72.82.82.92.82.72.72.62.62.72.8
Construction4.23.63.43.23.53.53.43.23.33.12.93.33.3
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing2.62.11.921.92.221.81.91.81.61.51.6
Real estate2.421.81.71.71.91.81.61.71.61.51.31.6
Goods rental & Leasing2.92.422.42.32.62.42.12.22.11.821.8
Wholesaling & Retailing4.13.533.13.13.43.23.23.23.23.13.33.5
Wholesaling4.43.533.23.13.43.13.13.23.13.13.23.6
Retailing3.83.33.13.13.33.43.33.23.33.23.23.43.4
Transport & Postal activities2.82.82.52.72.72.72.52.52.62.62.72.72.7
Information communication22.11.91.91.921.81.71.51.61.61.51.7
Communications2.832.122.42.22.41.91.51.41.51.71.6
Information services2.22.32.121.82.121.91.71.71.51.31.4
Other information communication1.61.71.61.71.91.81.41.41.41.61.71.72.1
Electric & Gas utilities32.72.12.32.42.72.11.722.111.71.5
Services for businesses32.82.82.62.62.52.52.32.32.11.922.1
Services for individuals2.32.322.122.32.42.52.22.32.42.72.3
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services3.83.73.73.83.643.93.53.73.83.94.14.2
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel3.83.922.73.32.5332.82.72.122.8
Large Enterprises41
All industries32.52.22.22.32.32.22.12.22.12.12.32.3
Manufacturing3.22.52.22.22.32.32.22.22.32.22.22.42.5
Textiles3.32.83.13.12.52.33.33.12.91.82.61.92.5
Lumber & Wood products4.21.81.72.72.32.73.12.73.62.72.51.92.3
Pulp & Paper5.94.44.543.53.62.83.53.23.62.42.43.6
Chemicals2.31.91.41.521.51.11.51.51.11.51.31.6
Petroleum & Coal products1.76.71123-2-1-2-100.81.7
Ceramics, Stone & Clay4.42.53.13.62.843.83.43.12.31.933.9
Iron & Steel5.22.72.52.432.92.82.64.34.82.42.92.7
Nonferrous metals3.32.71.42331.923.32.31.91.71.8
Food & Beverages3.32.932.92.72.72.62.12.22.32.433.3
Processed metals4.83.52.82.93.33.13.53.43.43.233.63.9
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery3.42.82.72.92.52.82.82.72.72.62.832.7
General-purpose machinery3.33.33.23.532.832.93.22.83.23.53.2
Production machinery3.22.42.42.42.22.72.82.52.42.52.62.92.7
Business oriented machinery3.82.82.43.12.43.12.52.92.72.72.72.61.9
Electrical machinery2.31.91.41.11.51.41.31.41.41.51.51.91.9
Transportation machinery2.32.31.81.61.922.12.22.22.22.22.31.9
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery2.92.82.11.81.91.82.62.62.62.61.91.41.2
Motor vehicles2.12.11.71.61.92.11.92.12.12.12.32.62.1
Other manufacturing3.62.62.31.62.32.42.12.22.62.53.12.92.5
Basic materials3.52.52.22.42.52.52.12.22.52.11.91.92.4
Processing32.52.22.12.22.32.22.22.22.22.32.62.5
Nonmanufacturing2.72.52.22.32.32.42.22.12.1222.22.1
Construction3.13.12.52.32.42.32.42.22.42.21.82.12
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing32.22.222.32.31.92.32.12.41.61.31.3
Real estate3.122.21.92.52.422.322.31.51.21.3
Goods rental & Leasing2.62.62.12.41.921.82.32.32.81.81.71.4
Wholesaling & Retailing32.62.32.42.42.72.22.32.22.32.42.92.7
Wholesaling2.82.42.12.42.32.41.921.71.72.12.52.4
Retailing3.22.82.62.42.62.92.42.72.82.92.63.23
Transport & Postal activities2.42.52.22.42.22.82.62.42.11.61.92.32.1
Information communication22.41.82.11.81.71.71.31.51.61.51.31.2
Communications1.91.71.31.21.31.20.80.40.40000
Information services2.32.52.22.21.82.42.722.32.42.32.22
Other information communication1.32.41.42.320.70.40.20.70.70.200
Electric & Gas utilities21.20.91.31.31.11.71.51.20.61.70.90.5
Services for businesses3.1333.22.42.62.42.4221.31.71.4
Services for individuals1.41.61.81.62.41.71.81.52.11.71.92.12.2
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services3.93.43.64.13.74.14.33.53.33.74.74.44.6
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel0-0.7-4.2-2.5-3.3-3.3-2.5-2.9-2.1-2.9-2.5-2.5-3
Medium-sized Enterprises41
All industries3.22.72.42.52.52.72.52.42.52.42.32.42.5
Manufacturing432.62.62.72.82.72.62.82.82.72.92.9
Textiles4.82.12.122.62.93.93.4333.93.63
Lumber & Wood products3.332.63.12.9431.83.21.71-0.2-0.8
Pulp & Paper5.34.54.54.443.83.73.23.53.22.83.23
Chemicals4.32.522.42.532.42.22.12.322.12.1
Petroleum & Coal products7.93.3334.12.73.81.33.42.53.62.52.4
Ceramics, Stone & Clay4.13.23.22.9343.63.64.14.14.85.35.1
Iron & Steel42.72.31.21.41.31.62.23.53.21.61.32
Nonferrous metals2.63.31.62.42.52.21.61.71.51.41.82.41.4
Food & Beverages3.93.133.53.53.53.42.92.53.33.13.54
Processed metals3.72.92.522.52.52.73.32.82.93.133.1
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery3.83.12.92.82.83333.63.333.33.6
General-purpose machinery4.33.13.23.43.23.63.53.543.93.33.13.2
Production machinery3.73.22.82.52.62.72.52.53.43.12.52.93.4
Business oriented machinery3.53.12.82.62.62.63.33.13.32.93.444.1
Electrical machinery2.92.51.61.71.51.71.91.41.81.81.82.12
Transportation machinery3.82.92.92.832.72.42.42.422.22.52.5
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery4.72.93.53.83.73.42.93.12.62.32.72.93.2
Motor vehicles3.12.82.52.22.62.21.91.92.31.81.92.32
Other manufacturing53.33.2333.32.93.23.53.233.13.4
Basic materials4.22.92.62.52.72.92.92.632.82.72.72.5
Processing3.832.62.72.72.72.72.62.82.72.62.93.1
Nonmanufacturing2.72.52.32.42.42.62.32.22.32.22.12.12.3
Construction3.13.132.93.132.82.82.62.42.62.72.6
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing2.62.11.822.12.11.91.61.71.41.61.31.6
Real estate2.31.81.81.71.91.91.61.31.51.21.311.6
Goods rental & Leasing32.71.92.42.32.42.322.11.82.21.81.5
Wholesaling & Retailing3.32.92.72.72.82.92.82.52.72.82.62.83
Wholesaling3.632.82.92.8332.72.92.92.833.3
Retailing2.62.72.62.42.62.72.42.22.42.62.42.42.6
Transport & Postal activities2.22.11.82.32.52.52.22.32.62.32.22.22.2
Information communication1.81.91.71.51.51.71.31.31110.71.3
Communications2.93.22.32.32.92.52.52.31.71.80.90.61.2
Information services2.32.62.22.11.521.51.81.21.10.70.61
Other information communication0.90.81.10.91.11.20.80.60.70.71.40.91.7
Electric & Gas utilities3.12.82.22.22.42.72.222.32.31.12.12.3
Services for businesses2.32.22.42.32.2221.91.81.61.71.41.5
Services for individuals2.53.22.42.62.42.92.43.12.72.72.82.82.4
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services3.53.53.33.33.64.33.53.23.83.43.23.53.7
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel2.73.73.22.9443.73.64.33.322.53.5
Small Enterprises41
All industries4.13.43.13.13.23.33.23.23.23.133.23.4
Manufacturing4.63.53.23.13.23.43.23.33.43.43.13.33.7
Textiles4332.933.33.23.73.93.943.94.3
Lumber & Wood products5.43.33.33.43.22.62.22.1331.52.12.6
Pulp & Paper5.95.13.93.82.93.43.132.82.22.42.94.1
Chemicals4.63.232.93.33.23.33.33.232.632.7
Petroleum & Coal products6.14.53.22.63.73.43.44.344.34.554.7
Ceramics, Stone & Clay54.2444.55.34.95.14.34.24.14.45.5
Iron & Steel4.13.12.32.31.922.42.63.83.92.62.83.1
Nonferrous metals4.33.432.52.42.82.82.932.92.62.32.6
Food & Beverages6.14.654.854.93.93.73.53.53.74.14.8
Processed metals4.93.22.52.533.23.23.33.33.33.13.23.6
General-purpose, Production & Business oriented machinery4.23.33.133.13.53.23.23.33.43.133.4
General-purpose machinery4.23.33.43.53.43.73.33.43.33.33.23.23.7
Production machinery4.43.42.933.33.43.33.33.33.42.92.93.3
Business oriented machinery4.12.93.12.52.43.332.93.23.43.32.93.5
Electrical machinery3.93.32.93.133.13.13.53.53.43.33.63.6
Transportation machinery3.83.33.13.13.23.333.13.23.43.23.33.6
Shipbuilding, Heavy machinery & Other transportation machinery4.643.33.33.63.73.32.93.43.63.23.63.6
Motor vehicles2.52.32.82.82.82.82.63.52.93.33.22.93.6
Other manufacturing4.83.52.833.33.13.13.132.82.52.93.5
Basic materials4.83.63.1333.23.13.33.53.533.23.6
Processing4.63.53.33.33.43.53.33.33.33.33.23.33.7
Nonmanufacturing3.83.333.13.13.33.23.13.132.93.13.2
Construction4.63.93.53.43.83.83.73.53.73.43.23.63.6
Real estate, Goods rental & Leasing2.52.11.921.82.32.21.921.91.61.71.8
Real estate2.32.11.81.71.51.81.91.71.71.61.61.41.7
Goods rental & Leasing2.92.222.42.32.92.62.22.22.21.52.22
Wholesaling & Retailing4.83.93.43.53.53.83.63.63.63.63.63.73.9
Wholesaling543.43.53.33.73.43.53.53.53.43.53.9
Retailing4.43.73.43.53.73.83.93.83.83.63.844
Transport & Postal activities3.43.63.13.132.92.62.72.93.23.23.33.2
Information communication2.42.32.22.12.52.52.52.42.12.32.32.42.4
Communications3.13.32.62.22.82.83.62.82.22.22.43.22.4
Information services21.921.82.122.221.81.81.81.51.6
Other information communication2.62.42.42.52.832.52.72.42.92.73.33.3
Electric & Gas utilities3.12.92.42.62.83.22.11.51.92.40.61.40.5
Services for businesses3.232.92.72.82.72.82.62.72.322.22.4
Services for individuals2.321.821.72.12.52.422.12.42.72.2
Accomodations, Eating & Drinking services3.93.8443.63.943.73.8444.34.4
Mining & Quarrying of stone and gravel54.92.83.74.433.94.33.33.83.12.83.6

Latest reading

All industries stood at 3.7 in Q2 2026. That is +0.6 from Q1 2026 and +0.8 from a year earlier. The series on this page is quarterly and runs from Q1 2014 to Q2 2026. Source: Bank of Japan – Time-Series Data Search.

Latest
3.7
Q2 2026
vs previous period
+0.6
Q1 2026
vs a year earlier
+0.8

About this data

Tankan survey of enterprises' inflation expectations — outlook for output prices, 1 year ahead — average expected rate of change by enterprise size and industry. 164 series. Source: Bank of Japan, Time-Series Data Search.

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