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日本景气动向指数(CI/DI)

日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所(ESRI)发布的日本景气动向指数,涵盖先行、一致与滞后三大类别的合成指数(CI)与扩散指数(DI)、累计DI,以及各指数的单个构成指标及其对月度变动的贡献度。数据来源:日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所《景气动向指数》(Indexes of Business Conditions)。

来源: 日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所 – 景气动向指数最后更新: 整理维护 Bui Thanh Phuc

正在加载图表数据…
指标08-202607-202606-202605-202604-202603-202602-202601-202612-202511-202510-202509-202508-202507-202506-202505-202504-202503-202502-202501-202512-202411-202410-202409-202408-202407-202406-202405-202404-202403-202402-202401-202412-202311-202310-202309-202308-2023
景气复合指数(CI)3
景气动向指数(一致)(2020年基期)118.7120.6118.9118.3118.3117116.6118114.6115115.8115.2114114.9115.6115.8115.8116116.7116.3116.4115.3115.9114.3114.1115.5114.7115.5114.6113.8112.9113.1116114.9115.8115.8115.4
景气动向指数(先行)(2020年基期)118117.6116.2116.2115.9115.5114.3112.5110.5109.5109.2108106.9106.1105.2104.3104.3107.1107.1107.7107.5107.7108.5108.4107.4109.1109.7110.8110.4111.2111.3109.9110.3109.6109.5110.5110.5
景气动向指数(滞后)(2020年基期)112.1113111.8111.2111.6111.6111.9112.1111.8113.1112.7112.9112.7113.7113.6114.1113.2112111.8111.8110.4109.7109.4108.8109.5108.9108.5108.9107.5108107.8106.7108.3107.5107.5107106.6
未作异常值处理的CI、DI及累计DI9
先行复合指数(未作异常值替换)115.6115.2113.7113.9113.6113.1113.8112.6110.4109.5109.2108106.9106105.2103.7103.8109.1107.8108.4108.2108.4109.1108.9107.9109.6110.1111.3110.8111.5112110.5110.9110.1110110.9110.7
一致复合指数(未作异常值替换)116.2118.2116.5115.9116114.7114.3115.6112.4112.8113.7113111.8112.8113.4113.6113.6113.8114.4114114.2113.1113.7112111.8113.2112.4113.2112.3111.5110.6110.8114.2113.1113.9113.9113.5
滞后复合指数(未作异常值替换)108.6109.6108.5107.9108.3108.2108.5108.7108.6110109.8110109.8110.9110.8111.3110.4109.2109.2109.3108107.4107.1106.6107.4106.9106.6107.1105.8106.3106.2104.9106.6105.8105.9105.5105.1
先行扩散指数77.85554.554.554.572.777.377.390.981.890.972.754.554.536.431.89.154.55054.545.563.663.645.59.145.55045.554.545.572.763.645.545.536.436.436.4
一致扩散指数43.894.47570558065803580704010405025253550407570705025555080601025205525655530
滞后扩散指数5062.544.433.333.35044.433.322.261.144.433.322.244.45055.638.966.777.877.855.644.444.444.466.777.861.15077.8505038.966.777.877.872.244.4
先行累计扩散指数1,418.31,390.51,385.51,3811,376.51,3721,349.31,3221,294.71,253.81,2221,181.11,158.41,153.91,149.41,1631,181.21,222.11,217.61,217.61,213.11,217.61,2041,190.41,194.91,235.81,240.31,240.31,244.81,240.31,244.81,222.11,208.51,2131,217.51,231.11,244.7
一致累计扩散指数3,303.23,309.43,2653,2403,2203,2153,1853,1703,1403,1553,1253,1053,1153,1553,1653,1653,1903,2153,2303,2303,2403,2153,1953,1753,1753,2003,1953,1953,1653,1553,1953,2203,2503,2453,2703,2553,250
滞后累计扩散指数3,097.33,097.33,084.83,090.43,107.13,123.83,123.83,129.43,146.13,173.93,162.83,168.43,185.13,212.93,218.53,218.53,212.93,2243,207.33,179.53,151.73,146.13,151.73,157.33,162.93,146.23,118.43,107.33,107.33,079.53,079.53,079.53,090.63,073.93,046.13,018.32,996.1
先行指数构成指标13
最终需求品生产者库存率指数(逆指标)109.3108.7108.7103.8103.4102.1106.1102.8106105105.9106.6108.5108107.7107.4109.9110.1109.6109.6107.1107.6105.7107.6110.8107.9109.2107.2110.9108.5103.4106.6103.1105.1101.3103.3103.4
生产资料生产者库存率指数(逆指标)102.1100.9104.5102.3100.9103.3104.6100106104.9104.3106.2106.4105.7105.8104.6105.2105.8104.6104.8107.7107.5106.2105.7107104.4105.1103.2104.6105.1100.2103.6103105105.2102.3106.5
新增招聘人数(不含应届毕业生)787,309799,614793,744785,944802,296787,004753,865800,334801,947791,143774,844782,448805,772808,890800,412807,916831,707824,640814,823841,636826,814826,635829,359837,425825,613822,638835,832834,240818,468849,408856,190848,165857,348852,491855,036850,508869,772
制造业机械订单(按不变价格计算)433,949441,127369,599434,459418,863491,801377,330431,300359,267389,638445,885377,289377,199365,275388,073395,615404,779379,926379,937367,775416,885387,974356,592363,358369,278387,370379,724371,103415,445369,441340,919384,710365,408375,566384,698388,690
新开工住宅总建筑面积4,8014,9694,8864,7524,5494,8954,8004,8414,8714,6535,0374,6724,5794,5654,1983,4823,9636,9615,1344,8634,9255,0124,9945,0585,0054,9675,0595,3345,4364,9504,9655,0945,1415,0495,0805,1955,414
消费者信心指数35.534.933.833.632.233.339.737.636.937.235.935.434.93434.733.331.533.834.434.835.63636.13736.937.236.937.138.539.238.437.736.73635.935.536.4
日经商品价格指数(42种)304.3300.56296.58300.22294.18284.36279.4275.61269.87269.75269.65265.17264.76264.05263.31260.9261.56269.34267.83268.75268.29266.33267.87267.46266.22266.85272.63272.81269.17263.8259.59259.14257.07258.47257.34257.26257.95
广义货币(M2)同比变动22.12.22.52.321.71.61.71.71.61.51.310.80.60.50.81.21.31.31.21.21.21.31.51.51.82.22.52.42.52.32.32.42.42.5
东证股价指数(TOPIX)4,093.674,021.523,963.343,869.373,727.013,644.583,779.13,577.763,388.093,320.313,225.333,134.243,051.832,861.072,786.562,740.992,533.912,743.152,740.262,738.422,741.272,701.52,683.522,628.792,596.42,843.312,758.432,740.92,707.572,728.812,606.112,494.072,348.22,356.322,270.782,379.552,284.19
投资环境指数(制造业)3.13.153.33.53.262.642.312.412.42.262.292.322.422.482.822.782.963.143.373.353.43.43.393.243.273.133.223.253.353.413.583.543.253.453.36
总资产营业利润率(制造业)5.775.85.825.855.374.884.374.224.063.913.893.873.843.984.134.274.334.394.464.44.344.264.284.294.324.24.093.984.064.144.24.24.24.224
新发10年期国债收益率2.942.792.672.652.522.352.112.242.061.811.661.651.61.551.421.51.311.491.371.251.091.050.940.860.891.051.051.070.870.730.710.730.620.660.950.770.64
中小企业销售预测DI6.6-0.71.9-2.4-1.82.14.50.20.9-2.2-3.5-2.4-2.7-3.8-4.1-2.8-0.71.81.52.9-2.2-3.70.90.2-4-1.201.7-0.7-1.4-1.9-0.9-1.32.912.71.3
先行指数贡献度12
一致指标趋势因子0.190.160.120.110.080.10.140.150.130.140.160.230.260.310.430.490.370.180.140.120.120.10.11-0.020.010.040.02-0-0.01-0.03-0.05-00.02-0.01-0.030.01-0.03
最终需求品生产者库存率指数(逆指标)-0.060.04-0.53-0.03-0.160.56-0.410.44-0.110.140.110.26-0.05-0.02-0.030.30.02-0.040.04-0.280.09-0.210.260.44-0.320.2-0.220.52-0.26-0.540.45-0.410.28-0.440.280.050.04
生产资料生产者库存率指数(逆指标)-0.220.76-0.33-0.20.480.28-0.380.85-0.13-0.050.360.07-0.090.02-0.20.080.09-0.180.060.5-0-0.19-0.060.24-0.40.15-0.290.270.12-0.540.61-0.060.380.09-0.430.610.33
新增招聘人数(不含应届毕业生)-0.260.090.12-0.280.230.55-0.44-0.040.160.25-0.14-0.37-0.070.09-0.14-0.380.040.11-0.420.17-0.03-0.08-0.150.140.02-0.22-00.22-0.49-0.130.09-0.160.04-0.070.03-0.310.04
制造业机械订单(按不变价格计算)-0.060.62-0.560.12-0.40.79-0.420.6-0.27-0.440.53-0.010.1-0.2-0.07-0.080.200.11-0.40.230.28-0.05-0.05-0.150.070.08-0.370.390.28-0.390.18-0.08-0.07-0.030.02
新开工住宅总建筑面积-0.270.130.190.3-0.470.13-0.05-0.040.28-0.490.450.130.020.50.62-0.69-0.820.610.35-0.06-0.080.04-0.050.090.08-0.08-0.3-0.10.590.02-0.13-0.030.14-0.01-0.11-0.230.27
消费者信心指数0.220.390.050.45-0.38-0.460.660.19-0.120.40.150.150.26-0.230.40.5-0.75-0.22-0.14-0.26-0.14-0.05-0.31-0-0.120.07-0.09-0.47-0.240.230.210.310.230.040.14-0.28-0.25
日经商品价格指数(42种)0.170.18-0.390.290.580.230.150.29-0.13-0.140.19-0.11-0.09-0.090.03-0.2-0.73-0.05-0.21-0.10.01-0.25-0.1-0.04-0.18-0.56-0.150.140.280.21-0.080.04-0.23-0.03-0.1-0.160.04
广义货币(M2)同比变动-0.06-0.04-0.20.220.320.320.16-0.010.070.150.140.220.30.210.20.11-0.2-0.28-0.050.030.10.030.02-0.05-0.140.02-0.22-0.3-0.230.09-0.070.170.01-0.070.01-0.070.01
东证股价指数(TOPIX)0.040.020.080.170.07-0.30.280.270.060.110.10.090.320.10.040.4-0.53-0.06-0.04-0.050.04-00.080.03-0.60.13-0.020.02-0.10.230.220.32-0.060.19-0.310.220
投资环境指数(制造业)-0.03-0.15-0.210.290.710.39-0.090.020.15-0.04-0.05-0.13-0.1-0.390.01-0.21-0.21-0.27-0-0.07-0.02-00.15-0.040.15-0.1-0.04-0.12-0.07-0.190.040.31-0.220.090.19
中小企业销售预测DI0.6-0.190.29-0.04-0.26-0.170.26-0.060.180.08-0.08-00.04-0.01-0.13-0.19-0.21-0.03-0.120.290.07-0.310.020.24-0.2-0.09-0.130.130.030.02-0.070.01-0.280.11-0.120.08-0.01
一致指数构成指标9
工矿业生产指数102.6104.4104.6102.6102.5102102.4104.5100.299.6101.610199.2100.5101.5101.8100.5101.4102101.9101101.3103101.2100.5102.5100.7101.9100.8101.49897.7105103.8104.4103.2103.1
生产资料生产者出货指数98.1102.2100.7100.799.7100.298.8102.597.998.499.798.797.298.39899.39998.199.598.997.69798.299.196.810098.4100.898.298.697.198.9103.3103.2102.7103.3103.2
耐用消费品生产者出货指数102.3107.5108.2111.4106.3104.5109.3105.9100.2103.1104.8101.9102.4101.2104.7106.5104.7102.8107.3105.5105.7105.2107.8104.5101.3102.3102.9103.4100.298.495.497.7110.8108.9108.2109.1108.3
劳动投入指数(所有调查行业)105103.5103104.6102.9103.3104.5102.1103.4104.4103.5103.3105.1103.4103.4102.9101.8103.4103.2103.8103.5103.6102.9103.7103.1103.5103.9103.1103.3103.3102.3104.1103.3103.7103.5103.6
投资品生产者出货指数(不含运输设备)108.3108.9103.4100.4105100.4101.1106.2101.4102.3101.1101.199.7100.7102.3103.2100.5102.2102100.7103.3102.4103.399.4100.5101.9100.8103.9104.5104.9101.7103.6108.7103.9105.2104.2105
零售销售额同比变动2.73.70.652.81.4-0.11.8-0.91.11.70.2-0.90.41.91.93.53.11.34.43.52.81.30.73.12.73.82.821.14.72.12.45.44.16.27
批发销售额同比变动7.58.99.54.56.53.31.61.51-1.92.82.2-1.6-0.91.6-0.91.63.426.93.945.412.19.51.77.15.4-1.730.70.1-0.70.6-0.60
营业利润(全行业)273,465267,640261,815255,990249,045242,101235,156234,609234,062233,515228,544223,573218,602222,465226,327230,190228,112226,035223,957217,772211,586205,401210,062214,724219,385214,445209,506204,566202,929201,292199,655199,771199,888200,004194,897
出口数量指数103.5106.4104.6106105.5108104.9107.6103.5103.5101.5101.8100.4101.7106102.2101.7103.7106100.3106.3100.1103.6104.6102.7102.3101.9101103.8102.999.8104.4106.5101.4107107.8105.3
一致指数贡献度10
工矿业生产指数-0.32-0.030.270.010.07-0.06-0.290.590.08-0.280.080.25-0.18-0.14-0.050.17-0.13-0.080.010.12-0.04-0.230.240.1-0.270.25-0.160.15-0.080.460.05-0.570.16-0.080.160.02-0.05
生产资料生产者出货指数-0.640.2300.14-0.070.2-0.510.63-0.07-0.180.140.21-0.150.04-0.190.030.12-0.190.080.180.09-0.17-0.10.32-0.40.22-0.330.36-0.050.21-0.24-0.580.020.07-0.080.010.18
耐用消费品生产者出货指数-0.44-0.04-0.20.350.13-0.310.230.39-0.19-0.110.2-0.030.09-0.22-0.090.160.16-0.290.13-0.010.04-0.170.230.21-0.07-0.04-0.040.210.120.21-0.17-0.710.120.05-0.060.060.04
劳动投入指数(所有调查行业)0.010.340.1-0.330.34-0.08-0.240.48-0.26-0.20.170.04-0.360.33-0.010.080.21-0.320.04-0.120.06-0.020.14-0.160.12-0.08-0.080.16-0.0400.2-0.360.16-0.080.04-0.020.1
投资品生产者出货指数(不含运输设备)-0.070.610.31-0.40.46-0.07-0.510.47-0.090.1200.14-0.1-0.16-0.090.27-0.170.020.13-0.260.09-0.090.39-0.11-0.140.11-0.31-0.06-0.040.31-0.19-0.480.46-0.130.1-0.08-0.01
零售销售额同比变动-0.140.38-0.460.240.150.16-0.20.29-0.21-0.060.160.12-0.14-0.160-0.170.050.19-0.330.10.080.160.06-0.250.04-0.120.110.090.1-0.380.27-0.03-0.320.14-0.22-0.080
批发销售额同比变动-0.14-0.050.38-0.160.240.130.010.040.22-0.350.050.29-0.04-0.180.2-0.17-0.120.11-0.360.240-0.10.34-0.08-0.540.58-0.40.130.53-0.340.170.050.06-0.10.09-0.040.05
营业利润(全行业)0.130.120.240.240.240.290.30.30.040.040.040.230.240.25-0.15-0.15-0.150.110.110.110.290.30.3-0.21-0.21-0.20.240.240.240.080.080.090000.260.27
有效求人倍率(不含应届毕业生)-0.01-0.010.13-0.15-0.02-0.160.11-0.210.1-0.03-0.17-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.17-0.3-0.010.010.020.03-0.10.040.180.180.050.050.05-0.08-0.080.050.05-0.08-0.09-0.220.040.040.04
出口数量指数-0.350.19-0.140.05-0.240.29-0.260.39-00.19-0.030.14-0.12-0.410.370.06-0.19-0.220.51-0.440.53-0.34-0.10.180.040.030.08-0.270.080.29-0.39-0.20.48-0.53-0.080.23-0.4
滞后指数构成指标7
第三产业活动指数(企业服务业)110110.2108.9109.2109.7109.3111.7108.5108.6109.7109.5108.9109.3108.5109108.8107.3109.3109105.6105.3105.8104.6104.4104.7104.2104.7104.3104.8104.7103.7105.3103.8103.5104103.2
常用雇员就业指数同比变动0.50.50.50.60.80.80.80.80.90.70.90.9111.11.10.911.11.11.11.41.21.31.31.41.21.11.210.91.110.80.80.7
企业新厂房及设备支出(按不变价格计算)126,622126,961127,301127,640128,799129,959131,118130,094129,069128,045128,894129,744130,593131,043131,494131,944130,459128,975127,490127,711127,933128,154126,901125,648124,395125,552126,709127,866129,284130,701132,119128,648125,177121,706121,269
法人税收入20,36120,08020,01721,16120,32220,19218,81717,62017,82218,48618,08118,00517,38216,96116,69317,03917,23916,75316,97616,83816,36716,52815,88315,21115,89716,12215,71017,54115,12015,18814,86614,29615,47913,67614,70315,21315,217
失业率(逆指标)2.522.382.492.462.532.652.632.712.622.562.612.572.552.382.472.452.52.472.422.472.452.482.452.432.462.672.542.612.592.572.62.482.52.562.542.562.64
制造业合同现金工资(名义)117.8116.9116.2116.1114.9114.9114.2113.3113112.7112112.1112112.1111.5110.8109.7109.8109.3108.9108.5108.4108.2107.9107.5107.2107.2106.2105.6105.2105105.3105.4105104.8104.5
最终需求品生产者库存指数104.8105.5102.898.1101.3101.1103.1102.910199.5103.4103.2103.5104.7104.2104.6106.2106.8107.5108.1103.7104.8106.4105.7106.7108.2107.1108.9107.6106.8106.8106.5106.8107.8107.3107.2106.5
滞后指数贡献度10
一致指标趋势因子0.180.160.120.110.080.10.140.150.140.150.170.240.270.330.460.540.40.180.150.130.120.10.11-0.020.010.040.02-0-0.01-0.03-0.04-00.02-0.01-0.030.01-0.03
第三产业活动指数(企业服务业)-0.060.14-0.06-0.090.03-0.340.39-0.04-0.17-00.05-0.090.07-0.1-0.010.17-0.290.020.440.03-0.080.150.03-0.050.07-0.070.05-0.070.010.13-0.220.20.04-0.070.10.04
常用雇员就业指数同比变动00-0.1-0.22-0-0.01-0.01-0.120.22-0.23-0-0.11-0-0.11-00.23-0.09-0.090.020.02-0.30.24-0.090.02-0.10.220.12-0.090.230.12-0.190.120.220.010.120.02
企业新厂房及设备支出(按不变价格计算)-0.05-0.06-0.06-0.16-0.16-0.160.080.090.09-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.08-0.08-0.070.150.150.15-0.04-0.04-0.030.140.140.15-0.12-0.13-0.13-0.16-0.16-0.160.360.370.380.050.05
工薪家庭生活支出同比变动-0.04-0.260.010.14-0.230.030.12-0.650.4-0.40.040.010.01-0.170.26-0.190.33-0.22-0.180.20.310-0.190.010.07-0.09-0.06-0.060.050.45-0.220.03-0.160.060.140.01
法人税收入0.04-0.01-0.210.11-00.220.2-0.06-0.150.05-0.010.10.070.05-0.07-0.050.1-0.040.030.11-0.020.150.16-0.13-0.030.1-0.360.5-00.080.14-0.250.42-0.22-0.10.010.27
失业率(逆指标)-0.610.22-0.070.120.21-0.040.14-0.18-0.130.08-0.09-0.05-0.330.15-0.050.08-0.06-0.090.09-0.030.06-0.05-0.030.060.39-0.220.13-0.03-0.030.06-0.210.040.11-0.030.040.15-0.05
制造业合同现金工资(名义)0.40.25-0.080.32-0.120.270.330.050.050.28-0.18-0.07-0.20.210.280.43-0.150.210.150.16-0.010.050.110.180.12-0.050.520.310.20.09-0.21-0.090.20.090.150.09
消费者价格指数(扣除生鲜食品)同比变动-0.310.220.19-0.03-0.370.19-0.48-0.51-0.63-0.070.050.17-0.5-0.28-0.510.160.270.18-0.260.180.290.37-0.14-0.470.070.070.080.3-0.45-0.240.51-0.34-0.24-0.420.07-0.35-0.04
最终需求品生产者库存指数-0.230.330.46-0.390.02-0.2500.210.17-0.440.01-0.05-0.150.04-0.06-0.19-0.07-0.08-0.080.49-0.12-0.180.08-0.11-0.170.12-0.20.140.08-0.010.03-0.03-0.110.050.010.07-0.1

最新值

本页序列为月度,时间跨度从1985年1月至2026年8月。来源:日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所 – 景气动向指数。

常见问题

日本景气动向指数(CI/DI)的最新值是多少?
景气动向指数(一致)(2020年基期)在2026年8月为118.7。较2026年7月−1.6%,较上年同期+4.1%。
日本景气动向指数(CI/DI)的数据可追溯至何时?
本页序列为月度,时间跨度从1985年1月至2026年8月。来源:日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所 – 景气动向指数。本数据表中的每个序列均可查看全历史图表,并支持下载为CSV或Excel格式。
什么是日本景气动向指数,它由哪些系列构成?
景气动向指数是综合判断日本宏观经济运行状态的指标体系。它整合生产、就业、消费等多领域微观数据,按对经济周期响应的时间节点划分为先行指数、一致(同步)指数与滞后指数,分别发挥预警、定性和确认景气阶段的功能。
该指数由谁发布,其测算方法是什么?
该指数由日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所编制发布。体系分为测算经济变动幅度的复合指数(CI)与测算经济扩张波及范围的扩散指数(DI),并辅以累计DI及单项构成指标的敏感度分析。
如何理解CI复合指数与DI扩散指数的区别与读法?
CI为定基指数,用于观察经济扩张或收缩的速度与程度;DI则衡量各构成指标中处于扩张状态的比例,通常以荣枯临界值区分扩张与收缩,高于临界值表明多数行业景气上行,低于临界值则表明经济下行压力扩散。