日本景气动向指数(CI/DI)
日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所(ESRI)发布的日本景气动向指数,涵盖先行、一致与滞后三大类别的合成指数(CI)与扩散指数(DI)、累计DI,以及各指数的单个构成指标及其对月度变动的贡献度。数据来源:日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所《景气动向指数》(Indexes of Business Conditions)。
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| 指标 | 08-2026 | 07-2026 | 06-2026 | 05-2026 | 04-2026 | 03-2026 | 02-2026 | 01-2026 | 12-2025 | 11-2025 | 10-2025 | 09-2025 | 08-2025 | 07-2025 | 06-2025 | 05-2025 | 04-2025 | 03-2025 | 02-2025 | 01-2025 | 12-2024 | 11-2024 | 10-2024 | 09-2024 | 08-2024 | 07-2024 | 06-2024 | 05-2024 | 04-2024 | 03-2024 | 02-2024 | 01-2024 | 12-2023 | 11-2023 | 10-2023 | 09-2023 | 08-2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 景气复合指数(CI)3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 景气动向指数(一致)(2020年基期) | 118.7 | 120.6 | 118.9 | 118.3 | 118.3 | 117 | 116.6 | 118 | 114.6 | 115 | 115.8 | 115.2 | 114 | 114.9 | 115.6 | 115.8 | 115.8 | 116 | 116.7 | 116.3 | 116.4 | 115.3 | 115.9 | 114.3 | 114.1 | 115.5 | 114.7 | 115.5 | 114.6 | 113.8 | 112.9 | 113.1 | 116 | 114.9 | 115.8 | 115.8 | 115.4 | |
| 景气动向指数(先行)(2020年基期) | 118 | 117.6 | 116.2 | 116.2 | 115.9 | 115.5 | 114.3 | 112.5 | 110.5 | 109.5 | 109.2 | 108 | 106.9 | 106.1 | 105.2 | 104.3 | 104.3 | 107.1 | 107.1 | 107.7 | 107.5 | 107.7 | 108.5 | 108.4 | 107.4 | 109.1 | 109.7 | 110.8 | 110.4 | 111.2 | 111.3 | 109.9 | 110.3 | 109.6 | 109.5 | 110.5 | 110.5 | |
| 景气动向指数(滞后)(2020年基期) | 112.1 | 113 | 111.8 | 111.2 | 111.6 | 111.6 | 111.9 | 112.1 | 111.8 | 113.1 | 112.7 | 112.9 | 112.7 | 113.7 | 113.6 | 114.1 | 113.2 | 112 | 111.8 | 111.8 | 110.4 | 109.7 | 109.4 | 108.8 | 109.5 | 108.9 | 108.5 | 108.9 | 107.5 | 108 | 107.8 | 106.7 | 108.3 | 107.5 | 107.5 | 107 | 106.6 | |
| 未作异常值处理的CI、DI及累计DI9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 先行复合指数(未作异常值替换) | 115.6 | 115.2 | 113.7 | 113.9 | 113.6 | 113.1 | 113.8 | 112.6 | 110.4 | 109.5 | 109.2 | 108 | 106.9 | 106 | 105.2 | 103.7 | 103.8 | 109.1 | 107.8 | 108.4 | 108.2 | 108.4 | 109.1 | 108.9 | 107.9 | 109.6 | 110.1 | 111.3 | 110.8 | 111.5 | 112 | 110.5 | 110.9 | 110.1 | 110 | 110.9 | 110.7 | |
| 一致复合指数(未作异常值替换) | 116.2 | 118.2 | 116.5 | 115.9 | 116 | 114.7 | 114.3 | 115.6 | 112.4 | 112.8 | 113.7 | 113 | 111.8 | 112.8 | 113.4 | 113.6 | 113.6 | 113.8 | 114.4 | 114 | 114.2 | 113.1 | 113.7 | 112 | 111.8 | 113.2 | 112.4 | 113.2 | 112.3 | 111.5 | 110.6 | 110.8 | 114.2 | 113.1 | 113.9 | 113.9 | 113.5 | |
| 滞后复合指数(未作异常值替换) | 108.6 | 109.6 | 108.5 | 107.9 | 108.3 | 108.2 | 108.5 | 108.7 | 108.6 | 110 | 109.8 | 110 | 109.8 | 110.9 | 110.8 | 111.3 | 110.4 | 109.2 | 109.2 | 109.3 | 108 | 107.4 | 107.1 | 106.6 | 107.4 | 106.9 | 106.6 | 107.1 | 105.8 | 106.3 | 106.2 | 104.9 | 106.6 | 105.8 | 105.9 | 105.5 | 105.1 | |
| 先行扩散指数 | 77.8 | 55 | 54.5 | 54.5 | 54.5 | 72.7 | 77.3 | 77.3 | 90.9 | 81.8 | 90.9 | 72.7 | 54.5 | 54.5 | 36.4 | 31.8 | 9.1 | 54.5 | 50 | 54.5 | 45.5 | 63.6 | 63.6 | 45.5 | 9.1 | 45.5 | 50 | 45.5 | 54.5 | 45.5 | 72.7 | 63.6 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 36.4 | 36.4 | 36.4 | |
| 一致扩散指数 | 43.8 | 94.4 | 75 | 70 | 55 | 80 | 65 | 80 | 35 | 80 | 70 | 40 | 10 | 40 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 50 | 40 | 75 | 70 | 70 | 50 | 25 | 55 | 50 | 80 | 60 | 10 | 25 | 20 | 55 | 25 | 65 | 55 | 30 | |
| 滞后扩散指数 | 50 | 62.5 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 61.1 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 44.4 | 50 | 55.6 | 38.9 | 66.7 | 77.8 | 77.8 | 55.6 | 44.4 | 44.4 | 44.4 | 66.7 | 77.8 | 61.1 | 50 | 77.8 | 50 | 50 | 38.9 | 66.7 | 77.8 | 77.8 | 72.2 | 44.4 | |
| 先行累计扩散指数 | 1,418.3 | 1,390.5 | 1,385.5 | 1,381 | 1,376.5 | 1,372 | 1,349.3 | 1,322 | 1,294.7 | 1,253.8 | 1,222 | 1,181.1 | 1,158.4 | 1,153.9 | 1,149.4 | 1,163 | 1,181.2 | 1,222.1 | 1,217.6 | 1,217.6 | 1,213.1 | 1,217.6 | 1,204 | 1,190.4 | 1,194.9 | 1,235.8 | 1,240.3 | 1,240.3 | 1,244.8 | 1,240.3 | 1,244.8 | 1,222.1 | 1,208.5 | 1,213 | 1,217.5 | 1,231.1 | 1,244.7 | |
| 一致累计扩散指数 | 3,303.2 | 3,309.4 | 3,265 | 3,240 | 3,220 | 3,215 | 3,185 | 3,170 | 3,140 | 3,155 | 3,125 | 3,105 | 3,115 | 3,155 | 3,165 | 3,165 | 3,190 | 3,215 | 3,230 | 3,230 | 3,240 | 3,215 | 3,195 | 3,175 | 3,175 | 3,200 | 3,195 | 3,195 | 3,165 | 3,155 | 3,195 | 3,220 | 3,250 | 3,245 | 3,270 | 3,255 | 3,250 | |
| 滞后累计扩散指数 | 3,097.3 | 3,097.3 | 3,084.8 | 3,090.4 | 3,107.1 | 3,123.8 | 3,123.8 | 3,129.4 | 3,146.1 | 3,173.9 | 3,162.8 | 3,168.4 | 3,185.1 | 3,212.9 | 3,218.5 | 3,218.5 | 3,212.9 | 3,224 | 3,207.3 | 3,179.5 | 3,151.7 | 3,146.1 | 3,151.7 | 3,157.3 | 3,162.9 | 3,146.2 | 3,118.4 | 3,107.3 | 3,107.3 | 3,079.5 | 3,079.5 | 3,079.5 | 3,090.6 | 3,073.9 | 3,046.1 | 3,018.3 | 2,996.1 | |
| 先行指数构成指标13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 最终需求品生产者库存率指数(逆指标) | 109.3 | 108.7 | 108.7 | 103.8 | 103.4 | 102.1 | 106.1 | 102.8 | 106 | 105 | 105.9 | 106.6 | 108.5 | 108 | 107.7 | 107.4 | 109.9 | 110.1 | 109.6 | 109.6 | 107.1 | 107.6 | 105.7 | 107.6 | 110.8 | 107.9 | 109.2 | 107.2 | 110.9 | 108.5 | 103.4 | 106.6 | 103.1 | 105.1 | 101.3 | 103.3 | 103.4 | |
| 生产资料生产者库存率指数(逆指标) | 102.1 | 100.9 | 104.5 | 102.3 | 100.9 | 103.3 | 104.6 | 100 | 106 | 104.9 | 104.3 | 106.2 | 106.4 | 105.7 | 105.8 | 104.6 | 105.2 | 105.8 | 104.6 | 104.8 | 107.7 | 107.5 | 106.2 | 105.7 | 107 | 104.4 | 105.1 | 103.2 | 104.6 | 105.1 | 100.2 | 103.6 | 103 | 105 | 105.2 | 102.3 | 106.5 | |
| 新增招聘人数(不含应届毕业生) | 787,309 | 799,614 | 793,744 | 785,944 | 802,296 | 787,004 | 753,865 | 800,334 | 801,947 | 791,143 | 774,844 | 782,448 | 805,772 | 808,890 | 800,412 | 807,916 | 831,707 | 824,640 | 814,823 | 841,636 | 826,814 | 826,635 | 829,359 | 837,425 | 825,613 | 822,638 | 835,832 | 834,240 | 818,468 | 849,408 | 856,190 | 848,165 | 857,348 | 852,491 | 855,036 | 850,508 | 869,772 | |
| 制造业机械订单(按不变价格计算) | 433,949 | 441,127 | 369,599 | 434,459 | 418,863 | 491,801 | 377,330 | 431,300 | 359,267 | 389,638 | 445,885 | 377,289 | 377,199 | 365,275 | 388,073 | 395,615 | 404,779 | 379,926 | 379,937 | 367,775 | 416,885 | 387,974 | 356,592 | 363,358 | 369,278 | 387,370 | 379,724 | 371,103 | 415,445 | 369,441 | 340,919 | 384,710 | 365,408 | 375,566 | 384,698 | 388,690 | ||
| 新开工住宅总建筑面积 | 4,801 | 4,969 | 4,886 | 4,752 | 4,549 | 4,895 | 4,800 | 4,841 | 4,871 | 4,653 | 5,037 | 4,672 | 4,579 | 4,565 | 4,198 | 3,482 | 3,963 | 6,961 | 5,134 | 4,863 | 4,925 | 5,012 | 4,994 | 5,058 | 5,005 | 4,967 | 5,059 | 5,334 | 5,436 | 4,950 | 4,965 | 5,094 | 5,141 | 5,049 | 5,080 | 5,195 | 5,414 | |
| 消费者信心指数 | 35.5 | 34.9 | 33.8 | 33.6 | 32.2 | 33.3 | 39.7 | 37.6 | 36.9 | 37.2 | 35.9 | 35.4 | 34.9 | 34 | 34.7 | 33.3 | 31.5 | 33.8 | 34.4 | 34.8 | 35.6 | 36 | 36.1 | 37 | 36.9 | 37.2 | 36.9 | 37.1 | 38.5 | 39.2 | 38.4 | 37.7 | 36.7 | 36 | 35.9 | 35.5 | 36.4 | |
| 日经商品价格指数(42种) | 304.3 | 300.56 | 296.58 | 300.22 | 294.18 | 284.36 | 279.4 | 275.61 | 269.87 | 269.75 | 269.65 | 265.17 | 264.76 | 264.05 | 263.31 | 260.9 | 261.56 | 269.34 | 267.83 | 268.75 | 268.29 | 266.33 | 267.87 | 267.46 | 266.22 | 266.85 | 272.63 | 272.81 | 269.17 | 263.8 | 259.59 | 259.14 | 257.07 | 258.47 | 257.34 | 257.26 | 257.95 | |
| 广义货币(M2)同比变动 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | |
| 东证股价指数(TOPIX) | 4,093.67 | 4,021.52 | 3,963.34 | 3,869.37 | 3,727.01 | 3,644.58 | 3,779.1 | 3,577.76 | 3,388.09 | 3,320.31 | 3,225.33 | 3,134.24 | 3,051.83 | 2,861.07 | 2,786.56 | 2,740.99 | 2,533.91 | 2,743.15 | 2,740.26 | 2,738.42 | 2,741.27 | 2,701.5 | 2,683.52 | 2,628.79 | 2,596.4 | 2,843.31 | 2,758.43 | 2,740.9 | 2,707.57 | 2,728.81 | 2,606.11 | 2,494.07 | 2,348.2 | 2,356.32 | 2,270.78 | 2,379.55 | 2,284.19 | |
| 投资环境指数(制造业) | 3.1 | 3.15 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.26 | 2.64 | 2.31 | 2.41 | 2.4 | 2.26 | 2.29 | 2.32 | 2.42 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.78 | 2.96 | 3.14 | 3.37 | 3.35 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.39 | 3.24 | 3.27 | 3.13 | 3.22 | 3.25 | 3.35 | 3.41 | 3.58 | 3.54 | 3.25 | 3.45 | 3.36 | |||
| 总资产营业利润率(制造业) | 5.77 | 5.8 | 5.82 | 5.85 | 5.37 | 4.88 | 4.37 | 4.22 | 4.06 | 3.91 | 3.89 | 3.87 | 3.84 | 3.98 | 4.13 | 4.27 | 4.33 | 4.39 | 4.46 | 4.4 | 4.34 | 4.26 | 4.28 | 4.29 | 4.32 | 4.2 | 4.09 | 3.98 | 4.06 | 4.14 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.22 | 4 | |||
| 新发10年期国债收益率 | 2.94 | 2.79 | 2.67 | 2.65 | 2.52 | 2.35 | 2.11 | 2.24 | 2.06 | 1.81 | 1.66 | 1.65 | 1.6 | 1.55 | 1.42 | 1.5 | 1.31 | 1.49 | 1.37 | 1.25 | 1.09 | 1.05 | 0.94 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.07 | 0.87 | 0.73 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.64 | |
| 中小企业销售预测DI | 6.6 | -0.7 | 1.9 | -2.4 | -1.8 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | -2.2 | -3.5 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -3.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.9 | -2.2 | -3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | -4 | -1.2 | 0 | 1.7 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -0.9 | -1.3 | 2.9 | 1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | |
| 先行指数贡献度12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 一致指标趋势因子 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.11 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.02 | -0 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.05 | -0 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 0.01 | -0.03 | |
| 最终需求品生产者库存率指数(逆指标) | -0.06 | 0.04 | -0.53 | -0.03 | -0.16 | 0.56 | -0.41 | 0.44 | -0.11 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.26 | -0.05 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.3 | 0.02 | -0.04 | 0.04 | -0.28 | 0.09 | -0.21 | 0.26 | 0.44 | -0.32 | 0.2 | -0.22 | 0.52 | -0.26 | -0.54 | 0.45 | -0.41 | 0.28 | -0.44 | 0.28 | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
| 生产资料生产者库存率指数(逆指标) | -0.22 | 0.76 | -0.33 | -0.2 | 0.48 | 0.28 | -0.38 | 0.85 | -0.13 | -0.05 | 0.36 | 0.07 | -0.09 | 0.02 | -0.2 | 0.08 | 0.09 | -0.18 | 0.06 | 0.5 | -0 | -0.19 | -0.06 | 0.24 | -0.4 | 0.15 | -0.29 | 0.27 | 0.12 | -0.54 | 0.61 | -0.06 | 0.38 | 0.09 | -0.43 | 0.61 | 0.33 | |
| 新增招聘人数(不含应届毕业生) | -0.26 | 0.09 | 0.12 | -0.28 | 0.23 | 0.55 | -0.44 | -0.04 | 0.16 | 0.25 | -0.14 | -0.37 | -0.07 | 0.09 | -0.14 | -0.38 | 0.04 | 0.11 | -0.42 | 0.17 | -0.03 | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.14 | 0.02 | -0.22 | -0 | 0.22 | -0.49 | -0.13 | 0.09 | -0.16 | 0.04 | -0.07 | 0.03 | -0.31 | 0.04 | |
| 制造业机械订单(按不变价格计算) | -0.06 | 0.62 | -0.56 | 0.12 | -0.4 | 0.79 | -0.42 | 0.6 | -0.27 | -0.44 | 0.53 | -0.01 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.07 | -0.08 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.4 | 0.23 | 0.28 | -0.05 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.07 | 0.08 | -0.37 | 0.39 | 0.28 | -0.39 | 0.18 | -0.08 | -0.07 | -0.03 | 0.02 | ||
| 新开工住宅总建筑面积 | -0.27 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.3 | -0.47 | 0.13 | -0.05 | -0.04 | 0.28 | -0.49 | 0.45 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.5 | 0.62 | -0.69 | -0.82 | 0.61 | 0.35 | -0.06 | -0.08 | 0.04 | -0.05 | 0.09 | 0.08 | -0.08 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 0.59 | 0.02 | -0.13 | -0.03 | 0.14 | -0.01 | -0.11 | -0.23 | 0.27 | |
| 消费者信心指数 | 0.22 | 0.39 | 0.05 | 0.45 | -0.38 | -0.46 | 0.66 | 0.19 | -0.12 | 0.4 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.26 | -0.23 | 0.4 | 0.5 | -0.75 | -0.22 | -0.14 | -0.26 | -0.14 | -0.05 | -0.31 | -0 | -0.12 | 0.07 | -0.09 | -0.47 | -0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.04 | 0.14 | -0.28 | -0.25 | |
| 日经商品价格指数(42种) | 0.17 | 0.18 | -0.39 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.29 | -0.13 | -0.14 | 0.19 | -0.11 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 0.03 | -0.2 | -0.73 | -0.05 | -0.21 | -0.1 | 0.01 | -0.25 | -0.1 | -0.04 | -0.18 | -0.56 | -0.15 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.21 | -0.08 | 0.04 | -0.23 | -0.03 | -0.1 | -0.16 | 0.04 | |
| 广义货币(M2)同比变动 | -0.06 | -0.04 | -0.2 | 0.22 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.16 | -0.01 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.3 | 0.21 | 0.2 | 0.11 | -0.2 | -0.28 | -0.05 | 0.03 | 0.1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | -0.05 | -0.14 | 0.02 | -0.22 | -0.3 | -0.23 | 0.09 | -0.07 | 0.17 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.01 | -0.07 | 0.01 | |
| 东证股价指数(TOPIX) | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.07 | -0.3 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.1 | 0.09 | 0.32 | 0.1 | 0.04 | 0.4 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.04 | -0 | 0.08 | 0.03 | -0.6 | 0.13 | -0.02 | 0.02 | -0.1 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.32 | -0.06 | 0.19 | -0.31 | 0.22 | 0 | |
| 投资环境指数(制造业) | -0.03 | -0.15 | -0.21 | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.39 | -0.09 | 0.02 | 0.15 | -0.04 | -0.05 | -0.13 | -0.1 | -0.39 | 0.01 | -0.21 | -0.21 | -0.27 | -0 | -0.07 | -0.02 | -0 | 0.15 | -0.04 | 0.15 | -0.1 | -0.04 | -0.12 | -0.07 | -0.19 | 0.04 | 0.31 | -0.22 | 0.09 | 0.19 | |||
| 中小企业销售预测DI | 0.6 | -0.19 | 0.29 | -0.04 | -0.26 | -0.17 | 0.26 | -0.06 | 0.18 | 0.08 | -0.08 | -0 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.13 | -0.19 | -0.21 | -0.03 | -0.12 | 0.29 | 0.07 | -0.31 | 0.02 | 0.24 | -0.2 | -0.09 | -0.13 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.02 | -0.07 | 0.01 | -0.28 | 0.11 | -0.12 | 0.08 | -0.01 | |
| 一致指数构成指标9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 工矿业生产指数 | 102.6 | 104.4 | 104.6 | 102.6 | 102.5 | 102 | 102.4 | 104.5 | 100.2 | 99.6 | 101.6 | 101 | 99.2 | 100.5 | 101.5 | 101.8 | 100.5 | 101.4 | 102 | 101.9 | 101 | 101.3 | 103 | 101.2 | 100.5 | 102.5 | 100.7 | 101.9 | 100.8 | 101.4 | 98 | 97.7 | 105 | 103.8 | 104.4 | 103.2 | 103.1 | |
| 生产资料生产者出货指数 | 98.1 | 102.2 | 100.7 | 100.7 | 99.7 | 100.2 | 98.8 | 102.5 | 97.9 | 98.4 | 99.7 | 98.7 | 97.2 | 98.3 | 98 | 99.3 | 99 | 98.1 | 99.5 | 98.9 | 97.6 | 97 | 98.2 | 99.1 | 96.8 | 100 | 98.4 | 100.8 | 98.2 | 98.6 | 97.1 | 98.9 | 103.3 | 103.2 | 102.7 | 103.3 | 103.2 | |
| 耐用消费品生产者出货指数 | 102.3 | 107.5 | 108.2 | 111.4 | 106.3 | 104.5 | 109.3 | 105.9 | 100.2 | 103.1 | 104.8 | 101.9 | 102.4 | 101.2 | 104.7 | 106.5 | 104.7 | 102.8 | 107.3 | 105.5 | 105.7 | 105.2 | 107.8 | 104.5 | 101.3 | 102.3 | 102.9 | 103.4 | 100.2 | 98.4 | 95.4 | 97.7 | 110.8 | 108.9 | 108.2 | 109.1 | 108.3 | |
| 劳动投入指数(所有调查行业) | 105 | 103.5 | 103 | 104.6 | 102.9 | 103.3 | 104.5 | 102.1 | 103.4 | 104.4 | 103.5 | 103.3 | 105.1 | 103.4 | 103.4 | 102.9 | 101.8 | 103.4 | 103.2 | 103.8 | 103.5 | 103.6 | 102.9 | 103.7 | 103.1 | 103.5 | 103.9 | 103.1 | 103.3 | 103.3 | 102.3 | 104.1 | 103.3 | 103.7 | 103.5 | 103.6 | ||
| 投资品生产者出货指数(不含运输设备) | 108.3 | 108.9 | 103.4 | 100.4 | 105 | 100.4 | 101.1 | 106.2 | 101.4 | 102.3 | 101.1 | 101.1 | 99.7 | 100.7 | 102.3 | 103.2 | 100.5 | 102.2 | 102 | 100.7 | 103.3 | 102.4 | 103.3 | 99.4 | 100.5 | 101.9 | 100.8 | 103.9 | 104.5 | 104.9 | 101.7 | 103.6 | 108.7 | 103.9 | 105.2 | 104.2 | 105 | |
| 零售销售额同比变动 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | -0.1 | 1.8 | -0.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | -0.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 7 | |
| 批发销售额同比变动 | 7.5 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | -1.9 | 2.8 | 2.2 | -1.6 | -0.9 | 1.6 | -0.9 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 2 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 4 | 5.4 | 1 | 2.1 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | -1.7 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | -0.7 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0 | |
| 营业利润(全行业) | 273,465 | 267,640 | 261,815 | 255,990 | 249,045 | 242,101 | 235,156 | 234,609 | 234,062 | 233,515 | 228,544 | 223,573 | 218,602 | 222,465 | 226,327 | 230,190 | 228,112 | 226,035 | 223,957 | 217,772 | 211,586 | 205,401 | 210,062 | 214,724 | 219,385 | 214,445 | 209,506 | 204,566 | 202,929 | 201,292 | 199,655 | 199,771 | 199,888 | 200,004 | 194,897 | |||
| 出口数量指数 | 103.5 | 106.4 | 104.6 | 106 | 105.5 | 108 | 104.9 | 107.6 | 103.5 | 103.5 | 101.5 | 101.8 | 100.4 | 101.7 | 106 | 102.2 | 101.7 | 103.7 | 106 | 100.3 | 106.3 | 100.1 | 103.6 | 104.6 | 102.7 | 102.3 | 101.9 | 101 | 103.8 | 102.9 | 99.8 | 104.4 | 106.5 | 101.4 | 107 | 107.8 | 105.3 | |
| 一致指数贡献度10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 工矿业生产指数 | -0.32 | -0.03 | 0.27 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -0.06 | -0.29 | 0.59 | 0.08 | -0.28 | 0.08 | 0.25 | -0.18 | -0.14 | -0.05 | 0.17 | -0.13 | -0.08 | 0.01 | 0.12 | -0.04 | -0.23 | 0.24 | 0.1 | -0.27 | 0.25 | -0.16 | 0.15 | -0.08 | 0.46 | 0.05 | -0.57 | 0.16 | -0.08 | 0.16 | 0.02 | -0.05 | |
| 生产资料生产者出货指数 | -0.64 | 0.23 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.07 | 0.2 | -0.51 | 0.63 | -0.07 | -0.18 | 0.14 | 0.21 | -0.15 | 0.04 | -0.19 | 0.03 | 0.12 | -0.19 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.09 | -0.17 | -0.1 | 0.32 | -0.4 | 0.22 | -0.33 | 0.36 | -0.05 | 0.21 | -0.24 | -0.58 | 0.02 | 0.07 | -0.08 | 0.01 | 0.18 | |
| 耐用消费品生产者出货指数 | -0.44 | -0.04 | -0.2 | 0.35 | 0.13 | -0.31 | 0.23 | 0.39 | -0.19 | -0.11 | 0.2 | -0.03 | 0.09 | -0.22 | -0.09 | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.29 | 0.13 | -0.01 | 0.04 | -0.17 | 0.23 | 0.21 | -0.07 | -0.04 | -0.04 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -0.17 | -0.71 | 0.12 | 0.05 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
| 劳动投入指数(所有调查行业) | 0.01 | 0.34 | 0.1 | -0.33 | 0.34 | -0.08 | -0.24 | 0.48 | -0.26 | -0.2 | 0.17 | 0.04 | -0.36 | 0.33 | -0.01 | 0.08 | 0.21 | -0.32 | 0.04 | -0.12 | 0.06 | -0.02 | 0.14 | -0.16 | 0.12 | -0.08 | -0.08 | 0.16 | -0.04 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.36 | 0.16 | -0.08 | 0.04 | -0.02 | 0.1 | |
| 投资品生产者出货指数(不含运输设备) | -0.07 | 0.61 | 0.31 | -0.4 | 0.46 | -0.07 | -0.51 | 0.47 | -0.09 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.1 | -0.16 | -0.09 | 0.27 | -0.17 | 0.02 | 0.13 | -0.26 | 0.09 | -0.09 | 0.39 | -0.11 | -0.14 | 0.11 | -0.31 | -0.06 | -0.04 | 0.31 | -0.19 | -0.48 | 0.46 | -0.13 | 0.1 | -0.08 | -0.01 | |
| 零售销售额同比变动 | -0.14 | 0.38 | -0.46 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -0.2 | 0.29 | -0.21 | -0.06 | 0.16 | 0.12 | -0.14 | -0.16 | 0 | -0.17 | 0.05 | 0.19 | -0.33 | 0.1 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.06 | -0.25 | 0.04 | -0.12 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.1 | -0.38 | 0.27 | -0.03 | -0.32 | 0.14 | -0.22 | -0.08 | 0 | |
| 批发销售额同比变动 | -0.14 | -0.05 | 0.38 | -0.16 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.22 | -0.35 | 0.05 | 0.29 | -0.04 | -0.18 | 0.2 | -0.17 | -0.12 | 0.11 | -0.36 | 0.24 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.34 | -0.08 | -0.54 | 0.58 | -0.4 | 0.13 | 0.53 | -0.34 | 0.17 | 0.05 | 0.06 | -0.1 | 0.09 | -0.04 | 0.05 | |
| 营业利润(全行业) | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.25 | -0.15 | -0.15 | -0.15 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.21 | -0.21 | -0.2 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.27 | |
| 有效求人倍率(不含应届毕业生) | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.13 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.16 | 0.11 | -0.21 | 0.1 | -0.03 | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.03 | -0.17 | -0.3 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | -0.1 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | -0.08 | -0.08 | 0.05 | 0.05 | -0.08 | -0.09 | -0.22 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | |
| 出口数量指数 | -0.35 | 0.19 | -0.14 | 0.05 | -0.24 | 0.29 | -0.26 | 0.39 | -0 | 0.19 | -0.03 | 0.14 | -0.12 | -0.41 | 0.37 | 0.06 | -0.19 | -0.22 | 0.51 | -0.44 | 0.53 | -0.34 | -0.1 | 0.18 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.08 | -0.27 | 0.08 | 0.29 | -0.39 | -0.2 | 0.48 | -0.53 | -0.08 | 0.23 | -0.4 | |
| 滞后指数构成指标7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 第三产业活动指数(企业服务业) | 110 | 110.2 | 108.9 | 109.2 | 109.7 | 109.3 | 111.7 | 108.5 | 108.6 | 109.7 | 109.5 | 108.9 | 109.3 | 108.5 | 109 | 108.8 | 107.3 | 109.3 | 109 | 105.6 | 105.3 | 105.8 | 104.6 | 104.4 | 104.7 | 104.2 | 104.7 | 104.3 | 104.8 | 104.7 | 103.7 | 105.3 | 103.8 | 103.5 | 104 | 103.2 | ||
| 常用雇员就业指数同比变动 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | ||
| 企业新厂房及设备支出(按不变价格计算) | 126,622 | 126,961 | 127,301 | 127,640 | 128,799 | 129,959 | 131,118 | 130,094 | 129,069 | 128,045 | 128,894 | 129,744 | 130,593 | 131,043 | 131,494 | 131,944 | 130,459 | 128,975 | 127,490 | 127,711 | 127,933 | 128,154 | 126,901 | 125,648 | 124,395 | 125,552 | 126,709 | 127,866 | 129,284 | 130,701 | 132,119 | 128,648 | 125,177 | 121,706 | 121,269 | |||
| 法人税收入 | 20,361 | 20,080 | 20,017 | 21,161 | 20,322 | 20,192 | 18,817 | 17,620 | 17,822 | 18,486 | 18,081 | 18,005 | 17,382 | 16,961 | 16,693 | 17,039 | 17,239 | 16,753 | 16,976 | 16,838 | 16,367 | 16,528 | 15,883 | 15,211 | 15,897 | 16,122 | 15,710 | 17,541 | 15,120 | 15,188 | 14,866 | 14,296 | 15,479 | 13,676 | 14,703 | 15,213 | 15,217 | |
| 失业率(逆指标) | 2.52 | 2.38 | 2.49 | 2.46 | 2.53 | 2.65 | 2.63 | 2.71 | 2.62 | 2.56 | 2.61 | 2.57 | 2.55 | 2.38 | 2.47 | 2.45 | 2.5 | 2.47 | 2.42 | 2.47 | 2.45 | 2.48 | 2.45 | 2.43 | 2.46 | 2.67 | 2.54 | 2.61 | 2.59 | 2.57 | 2.6 | 2.48 | 2.5 | 2.56 | 2.54 | 2.56 | 2.64 | |
| 制造业合同现金工资(名义) | 117.8 | 116.9 | 116.2 | 116.1 | 114.9 | 114.9 | 114.2 | 113.3 | 113 | 112.7 | 112 | 112.1 | 112 | 112.1 | 111.5 | 110.8 | 109.7 | 109.8 | 109.3 | 108.9 | 108.5 | 108.4 | 108.2 | 107.9 | 107.5 | 107.2 | 107.2 | 106.2 | 105.6 | 105.2 | 105 | 105.3 | 105.4 | 105 | 104.8 | 104.5 | ||
| 最终需求品生产者库存指数 | 104.8 | 105.5 | 102.8 | 98.1 | 101.3 | 101.1 | 103.1 | 102.9 | 101 | 99.5 | 103.4 | 103.2 | 103.5 | 104.7 | 104.2 | 104.6 | 106.2 | 106.8 | 107.5 | 108.1 | 103.7 | 104.8 | 106.4 | 105.7 | 106.7 | 108.2 | 107.1 | 108.9 | 107.6 | 106.8 | 106.8 | 106.5 | 106.8 | 107.8 | 107.3 | 107.2 | 106.5 | |
| 滞后指数贡献度10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 一致指标趋势因子 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.4 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.1 | 0.11 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.02 | -0 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 0.01 | -0.03 | |
| 第三产业活动指数(企业服务业) | -0.06 | 0.14 | -0.06 | -0.09 | 0.03 | -0.34 | 0.39 | -0.04 | -0.17 | -0 | 0.05 | -0.09 | 0.07 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 0.17 | -0.29 | 0.02 | 0.44 | 0.03 | -0.08 | 0.15 | 0.03 | -0.05 | 0.07 | -0.07 | 0.05 | -0.07 | 0.01 | 0.13 | -0.22 | 0.2 | 0.04 | -0.07 | 0.1 | 0.04 | ||
| 常用雇员就业指数同比变动 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.22 | -0 | -0.01 | -0.01 | -0.12 | 0.22 | -0.23 | -0 | -0.11 | -0 | -0.11 | -0 | 0.23 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 0.02 | 0.02 | -0.3 | 0.24 | -0.09 | 0.02 | -0.1 | 0.22 | 0.12 | -0.09 | 0.23 | 0.12 | -0.19 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.02 | ||
| 企业新厂房及设备支出(按不变价格计算) | -0.05 | -0.06 | -0.06 | -0.16 | -0.16 | -0.16 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.09 | -0.12 | -0.12 | -0.13 | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.07 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | -0.04 | -0.04 | -0.03 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.15 | -0.12 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.16 | -0.16 | -0.16 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.05 | 0.05 | |||
| 工薪家庭生活支出同比变动 | -0.04 | -0.26 | 0.01 | 0.14 | -0.23 | 0.03 | 0.12 | -0.65 | 0.4 | -0.4 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.01 | -0.17 | 0.26 | -0.19 | 0.33 | -0.22 | -0.18 | 0.2 | 0.31 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -0.09 | -0.06 | -0.06 | 0.05 | 0.45 | -0.22 | 0.03 | -0.16 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 0.01 | ||
| 法人税收入 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.21 | 0.11 | -0 | 0.22 | 0.2 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 0.1 | 0.07 | 0.05 | -0.07 | -0.05 | 0.1 | -0.04 | 0.03 | 0.11 | -0.02 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -0.13 | -0.03 | 0.1 | -0.36 | 0.5 | -0 | 0.08 | 0.14 | -0.25 | 0.42 | -0.22 | -0.1 | 0.01 | 0.27 | |
| 失业率(逆指标) | -0.61 | 0.22 | -0.07 | 0.12 | 0.21 | -0.04 | 0.14 | -0.18 | -0.13 | 0.08 | -0.09 | -0.05 | -0.33 | 0.15 | -0.05 | 0.08 | -0.06 | -0.09 | 0.09 | -0.03 | 0.06 | -0.05 | -0.03 | 0.06 | 0.39 | -0.22 | 0.13 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.06 | -0.21 | 0.04 | 0.11 | -0.03 | 0.04 | 0.15 | -0.05 | |
| 制造业合同现金工资(名义) | 0.4 | 0.25 | -0.08 | 0.32 | -0.12 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.28 | -0.18 | -0.07 | -0.2 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.43 | -0.15 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.16 | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.12 | -0.05 | 0.52 | 0.31 | 0.2 | 0.09 | -0.21 | -0.09 | 0.2 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.09 | ||
| 消费者价格指数(扣除生鲜食品)同比变动 | -0.31 | 0.22 | 0.19 | -0.03 | -0.37 | 0.19 | -0.48 | -0.51 | -0.63 | -0.07 | 0.05 | 0.17 | -0.5 | -0.28 | -0.51 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.18 | -0.26 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.37 | -0.14 | -0.47 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.3 | -0.45 | -0.24 | 0.51 | -0.34 | -0.24 | -0.42 | 0.07 | -0.35 | -0.04 | |
| 最终需求品生产者库存指数 | -0.23 | 0.33 | 0.46 | -0.39 | 0.02 | -0.25 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.17 | -0.44 | 0.01 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.04 | -0.06 | -0.19 | -0.07 | -0.08 | -0.08 | 0.49 | -0.12 | -0.18 | 0.08 | -0.11 | -0.17 | 0.12 | -0.2 | 0.14 | 0.08 | -0.01 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.11 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.07 | -0.1 |
最新值
本页序列为月度,时间跨度从1985年1月至2026年8月。来源:日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所 – 景气动向指数。
常见问题
- 日本景气动向指数(CI/DI)的最新值是多少?
- 景气动向指数(一致)(2020年基期)在2026年8月为118.7。较2026年7月−1.6%,较上年同期+4.1%。
- 日本景气动向指数(CI/DI)的数据可追溯至何时?
- 本页序列为月度,时间跨度从1985年1月至2026年8月。来源:日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所 – 景气动向指数。本数据表中的每个序列均可查看全历史图表,并支持下载为CSV或Excel格式。
- 什么是日本景气动向指数,它由哪些系列构成?
- 景气动向指数是综合判断日本宏观经济运行状态的指标体系。它整合生产、就业、消费等多领域微观数据,按对经济周期响应的时间节点划分为先行指数、一致(同步)指数与滞后指数,分别发挥预警、定性和确认景气阶段的功能。
- 该指数由谁发布,其测算方法是什么?
- 该指数由日本内阁府经济社会综合研究所编制发布。体系分为测算经济变动幅度的复合指数(CI)与测算经济扩张波及范围的扩散指数(DI),并辅以累计DI及单项构成指标的敏感度分析。
- 如何理解CI复合指数与DI扩散指数的区别与读法?
- CI为定基指数,用于观察经济扩张或收缩的速度与程度;DI则衡量各构成指标中处于扩张状态的比例,通常以荣枯临界值区分扩张与收缩,高于临界值表明多数行业景气上行,低于临界值则表明经济下行压力扩散。